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Wanna predict how much the Switch will sell?

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How much do you think Switch will sell lifetime?

<10M 39 4.04%
 
10M-20M 125 12.95%
 
20M-30M 137 14.20%
 
30M-40M 143 14.82%
 
40M-50M 121 12.54%
 
50M-60M 120 12.44%
 
60M-70M 70 7.25%
 
70M-80M 60 6.22%
 
80M-100M 59 6.11%
 
> 100M 91 9.43%
 
Total:965

8m in 2017, more than 100m lifetime.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

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8M for the first year. If no price cut by the of next year and droughts between first party games than 29M LT. But if we get all that, then 44M LT



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

With the handheld crowd in Japan and the full support of 1st party of Nintendo and 3rd party exclusives from Koei Tecmo, Platinum Games,Ubisoft,Capcom,Atlus,Square Enix, etc ...

I'm guessing it's gonna be in the 45M-55M range.

Lowest : 30M-35M

Highest : 60M-70M



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

I said in another thread 40-60 million so I'll go with 50 million here.



Oh & you want a number? Here's one for you: 12 million Switch sold by December 31, 2017.
Here's another: 35 million Switch sold by December 31, 2018.
Here's one more: 60 million Switch sold by December 31, 2019.
And one more for the road: 240 million LIFETIME Switch sales.



Sigs are dumb. And so are you!

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TheGoldenBoy said:
I said in another thread 40-60 million so I'll go with 50 million here.

This seems to be the standard consensus range. I'd agree with this. 

To go higher I need to see something actually *new* that is a game changer, you don't get to say 100 million by basically just utilizing old ideas unless you are Sony and you have 110% support from developers. 

Nintendo franchises alone don't get you to 100 million neither does HD Rumble and Ice cubes doesn't cut it.



Fusioncode said:

Oh & you want a number? Here's one for you: 12 million Switch sold by December 31, 2017.
Here's another: 35 million Switch sold by December 31, 2018.
Here's one more: 60 million Switch sold by December 31, 2019.
And one more for the road: 240 million LIFETIME Switch sales.

Nice ! Did the NASA discovered a new planet and civilization where we can sell them our stuff ??



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

If it true is a combination of home and handheld consoles then 40-50 million, if it's just a home console which can be portable than it wont reach 20 million.



Fusioncode said:

Oh & you want a number? Here's one for you: 12 million Switch sold by December 31, 2017.
Here's another: 35 million Switch sold by December 31, 2018.
Here's one more: 60 million Switch sold by December 31, 2019.
And one more for the road: 240 million LIFETIME Switch sales.

Man, oh man, how I want to hear JL's opinion on the Switch. Then again, we already know the answer. I wonder if he's spouting nonsense in another forum nowadays?



End of 2016 hardware sales:

Wii U: 15 million. PS4: 54 million. One: 30 million. 3DS: 64.8 million. PSVita: 15.2 million.

Hard to guess. I think 6M first year, 60M LT.