Double of WiiU

Unless theres no Price cut this year, itll totally Kill it, and itll do between 10-20M.
Thé futur of thé console will bé décidéd between march 2017 and march 2018, once thé console image is damaged ,theres nothing you can do.

Yeah. I realized much earlier, that if you ask people for success or failure of a console there are lots of different points of views, but if you ask for numbers they usually are nearer than you expect. Yes, there are always some outliers, but usually in a poll like that you would have a nice bell curve with a clear center. Seemingly if you ask people for raw numbers they do some unconscious calculations, but if you ask them for subjective descriptions they apply different definitions of success depending on their preferences. If you want a device to succeed, you assign unconsciously a lower threshold for success and vice versa.

In this case you have a broad range between 10M and 60M which is nearly on the same level. This is a very unusual result. Seems there is a lot of uncertainty in this case. And many opt for a more conservative estimate.

Changing my prediction from 30 million to 20 million.

It's inconceivable that they'd make a 3DS successor.  They cannot for even one second think about it.

I was far off with the Wii U, but I'm confident the Switch will be a better system, so I'll say it's going to sell 85m lifetime.

No I'm serious.  A "4DS" would leave no room at the top for "dumbest corporate moves ever."

Not much change. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=221574&page=1

I say 40m - 50m, but I really think 30m or 60m, but it ultimately depends on several things.

If they stay the same route they are now with the high price for the device, accessories, games, and misguided online for the entire generation only dropping price down to $249 like the Wii U, then they're doomed to struggle the entire generation and at best will reach 30m, because it'll still do well in Japan, but struggle everywhere else.

NA: 10m
EU: 8m
JP: 15m
RoW: 1m
Global = 34m

If they wise up, pull a 3DS and drop the price to $250 within the first year. Start bundling games with it this holiday. Have holiday sales on accessories and games (which happens regardless, though significantly less on Nintendo). Get Virtual Console up and running and give 1 free game from VC along with 1 free Classic online game for the online subscription. Let digital downloads transfer between 3DS / Wii U. Port/Remaster/Sequel best of Wii U and best of 3DS for the Switch. And simply focus their first party might on the Switch, then Nintendo will have at worst another 3DS on their hands, at best another GBA. The fact is handheld gaming has taken a significant cut in western countries.

NA: 25m
EU: 15m
JP: 25m
RoW: 3m
Global: 68m (Price will determine its success. 30m + 18m + 28m + 3m if they get to $150 before 2020)

The problem is based on history Nintendo is either going to do slightly better than the first scenario. Or do much worse than the best case scenario.

Oh, and if a mainline Pokemon game comes out for it, bump my prediction up to 90-100 million. Yes I'm serious. 

If this thing gets Pokemon, it's game over. Nintendo wins.