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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: Switch will sell less than 15 million if home console, less than 35 million if 3DS replacement/hybrid.

 

What do you think about this prediction?

Please dude, you're just... 58 60.42%
 
Pretty spot on in my opinion. 30 31.25%
 
Its going to sell less th... 8 8.33%
 
Total:96
RolStoppable said:
barneystinson69 said:

How about if I changed the title to this instead?

Switch will sell less than 115 million if home console, less than 355 million if 3DS replacement/hybrid. Would it sound better?

That would indeed be better, because it changes the thread's context from unintentionally funny to intentionally funny.

Alright, I'll do that on April 1st then.



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

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barneystinson69 said:
RolStoppable said:

Think before you hit the submit button.

Not to mention that this thread is a slightly adjusted variant of the thread you made yesterday.

How about if I changed the title to this instead?

Switch will sell less than 115 million if home console, less than 355 million if 3DS replacement/hybrid. Would it sound better?

I believe 240 million is the go-to standard prediction of lifetime sales for Nintendo home consoles on vgchartz. I have that on good authority.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



barneystinson69 said:
RolStoppable said:

Think before you hit the submit button.

Not to mention that this thread is a slightly adjusted variant of the thread you made yesterday.

How about if I changed the title to this instead?

Switch will sell less than 115 million if home console, less than 355 million if 3DS replacement/hybrid. Would it sound better?

LOLZ......



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.

I think Switch will do 65m lifetime and 8-9m this year.



Why is it so difficult to understand that it IS a hybrid. It has been comfirmed many times. We have seen gameplay of it, both in handheld and in console mode. Nintendo has been promoting it as BOTH a handheld and a console whole the time.



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Flilix said:
Why is it so difficult to understand that it IS a hybrid. It has been comfirmed many times. We have seen gameplay of it, both in handheld and in console mode. Nintendo has been promoting it as BOTH a handheld and a console whole the time.

Because, people wanna call it a handheld to make it seem somewhat inferior to the other consoles.



dont think it will pass 20 mill. but sell a bit better then wii U. seems like an upgraded wii U with more functionality. so it will have the same fate. this will be my first time not buying a ninty console at launch. i might get it on its final year tho. 3-5 years from now to catch up on must play aaa ninty games like mario ody.



I think y'all are under estimating the selling power of just Zelda, Splatoon 2 and Odyssey. On top of that, which is just first year, we are getting Pokémon as well, as already confirmed by Gamefreak. Now, Pokémon, Splatoon, 3D Mario that has the selling potential of Galaxy and Pokémon. That right there already screams over 20m. Not to mention the inevitable smash bros, hopefully it gets Monster Hunter... plus, Nintendo still can pump out Animal Crossing as well as a bunch of other IPs that will help the console.

I really don't think you should be judging lifetime sales based off of the launch lineup. Whereas yes it's pretty weak, the first year is pretty strong.



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I would think by now the Battery life gives it away. Switch is a console that can be played on the go. If it was meant to be a handheld, Nintendo would have prioritize he handheld first, but with low Battery life, obviously not the case. Switch is redesigned Wii U at the end of it all.



I read and saw all the news and I am still not sure what they really want, selling it as a home console but everything I see it looks like a portable, then I saw a video of just dance and it looked more like a wii 2 I dont know if there is motion control holy crap its confusing.

I actually wish they just made 2 consoles like the PSVita and the PSTV with the switch to make it easy and cheaper and give people either the portable or the home console version.

Also there is a mess of questions I still have, do updates download to the cardridge? Will there be a handheld only version later? Will the load times be decent on the cardridges or instant? what is the Mb/s of the cardridges? can they even keep up with a HDD, which is traditionally much faster in gaming cases then a micro SD slot

and so many more questions, its a mess, I think it will sell more then 15 milion because its less then a mess then the WiiU but it is also priced SIGNIFICANTLY worse and released in the prime of the ps4 and it will prob. be close to the price of the scorpio for power users.

I don't think this will be the nintendo comeback I and many others hoped for, so, I think you are wrong but I don't think you are far from what will happen, I project 40-50m myself and a huge success in Japan getting them to these numbers




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