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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: Switch will sell less than 15 million if home console, less than 35 million if 3DS replacement/hybrid.

 

What do you think about this prediction?

Please dude, you're just... 58 60.42%
 
Pretty spot on in my opinion. 30 31.25%
 
Its going to sell less th... 8 8.33%
 
Total:96

The reason I put two predictions is because Nintendo has been utterly confusing with their Switch marketing. Nintendo has stated its a home console, but some are saying its replacing the 3DS. Now if it is replacing the Wii U, and we do see a Nintendo handheld along with this, I can predict it will sell less than 15 million. Its making all the mistakes the Wii U had, and has a far inferior launch lineup. Now if its replacing the 3DS as well, it will of course sell better. But it'll still be down plenty compared to the 3DS due to a mostly poor lineup, and a higher launch price, as well as poor western support, and the growth of mobile gaming in Japan. Now if I'm wrong, well bump this in 3 years and I will laugh along with the community about my terrible prediction, and such and such. If I'm right, well I'll just bump this and laugh at everyone who was dead wrong. I really hope things change for this console, but I just don't see it. 



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

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Isn't their marketing that it can be both?



                  

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RolStoppable said:
barney, what did I tell you about making Nintendo threads?

That I should never criticize Nintendo no matter how wrong they're?



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

My question is, what if it's suppose to replace both? Would you then combine both estimates?



" Rebellion Against Tyrants Is Obedience To God"

Nirvana_Nut85 said:
My question is, what if it's suppose to replace both? Would you then combine both estimates?

Edited title. It'll sell less than 35 million if 3DS replacement/hybrid.



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

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Another one of this thread Barney?I dont know, you seem to be too concerned about the Switch for someone who says it is doomed....

Just admit it, you wanna marry it.



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

RolStoppable said:
barneystinson69 said:

That I should never criticize Nintendo no matter how wrong they're?

Think before you hit the submit button.

Not to mention that this thread is a slightly adjusted variant of the thread you made yesterday.

How about if I changed the title to this instead?

Switch will sell less than 115 million if home console, less than 355 million if 3DS replacement/hybrid. Would it sound better?



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

I agree for the same reason as you. My prediction is 30m LTD.



Pretty sure its replacing both, I mean don't why you'd think otherwise the whole point of the system is that it is both a handheld and home console in one. I mean Nintendo wont be announcing a 3DS 2 anytime soon most likely never.



I predicted the wii u would sell more because I thought they would do a pack in of mario kart for Christmas and drop the price and they never did probably because of issues getting the wii u chips as Sony had taken over the company making them. However the point is this time around Nintendo may well drop the price when sales figures turn out to be too low and like the 3DS it could be a success even though initially it looked like a huge flop.

I don't think Nintendo can afford for the Switch to fail and will be more proactive this time in trying to push sales because the alternative is they leave hardware or become a niche player in hardware. I do think being a niche player is possible but I think Nintendo are actually thinking at this point the Switch will be a huge success like the wii. They could be right of course but I personally don't think so.