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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - With all the information we have on the Switch, what´s your take on its market performance this year?

JRPGfan said:

I like the concept of the device....

I dislike how they designed it.
if its 299$ because of HD rumble/motion controlls, they wasted way to much money on it.

They could have done the same design and gotten rid of unnessary stuff and had a 199$ price point and been in a much better place with the console.

Agreed. They really screwed up with this price point.  At $199, it would be much easier for gamers to justify the purchase of a second system (in addition to their PS4 or XB1), it would be much easier for kids to convince their parents to buy one for them, and it would be much easier to for casuals to make the impulse buy, or convince themselves its something they really need to own.  

At $299, all of those things are much, much harder.  Moms and Dads can pick up a PS4 or XB1 for little Jimmy for less money, and have a much bigger library of low cost games to buy for him.  For gamers, as few exclusives as there are between Sony and MS, we'd still get access to more exclusive games by buying whichever of those consoles we don't already own than by buying a Switch.  Plus, we'd have money leftover for one of those games, and get one packed in with the console.  For casuals, its just a bigger number, so fewer people will be able to justify the purchase.  

I think Nintendo really screwed up here.  Of course, lots of things can happen.  We probably won't really know how the Switch is going to do until after holiday 2018.  But, as it stands now, I'm certainly not betting on Nintendo's success.  



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I think it will do decent at best.  I don't expect any memes of it 'printing money' any time soon lol



bananaking21 said:
Dead on arrival everywhere outside of japan. specially in europe. in Japan i have no idea.

It'll probably do well in Japan. Splatoon, Mario, Zelda, FE, etc. will carry the load within the first year at least, which isn't too shabby. Then who knows what will happen outside of Pokemon and that alone has not ceased to move consoles. Not sure the pulse of NA and Europe since not everyone has tried it out. Plus can you really gauge audiences through the forums alone? In here, most appear negative about it while some on other sites or social media appear to like it so far. Does it translate to sales? Not necessarily, but it's also true vice versa.



3DS like price cut incoming.



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Too many unknowns left for me. Price is a big hurdle and launch line up does inspire confidence, but could be tons of game announcements coming for titles to release this year. As others have said if that 3DS support comes to Switch it will do well in Japan, main concern is western performance. Right now I saw little reason why this would sell like a Wii and feels pretty Wii U to me.

Again, very early, but right now worried for Nintendo in terms of launch and near launch period.



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vivster said:
I don't think the hype will go away this year so they should sell plenty.

Yea i never understood the holiday releases for consoles.

This March seems perfect. They get the initial flood of people who need the next best thing, the die hard fansthe initial hype of something new, ect.

Those things will carry it to the holiday season, and then you get the holiday boost, and big holiday games, ect.

Come the following year you have a solid base to spread word of mouth and with a game or two or even a small price cut a year after launch and you are off to a good start, imo

Launching in Nov means you are mixing intial launch boost with holiday boost, and launch games with holiday games, ect. Then come Jan you have a dry spell for games cause all the games launched holiday.



The launch lineup isn't stellar but big hit titles throughout the year will help

The price is the main issue



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Volterra_90 said:
Nirvana_Nut85 said:

With the current price and lack of games, I'd be suprised if it sells 3.5 mill.

I think it will be sucessful in Japan no matter what. But I think this thing had the potential to be a beast, not sure about it now because of Nintendo's skill to missmanage winning concepts. The only way to know is wait for it. I know for a fact that in my group of friends, we were thing nking on buying 3, and after the price announcement in Europe the count is zero. Obviously we're not the mass market, but I read lots of posts in FB and Twitter saying something similar. Yay to 250€' Nope to 330

My 3.5 mil was more out of frustration. I'm sure it will sell more but am truly diasappointed. Due to the current drop of the Canadian currency, a $299 U.S price point puts the console at $452.00 CDN (after taxes) and I might add was the cost of the PS4 at launch, which is way to much for a Nintendo console. To put it in perspective, Wii U was $326 after tax and Wii was $290. Both consoles were bundled with games.



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Nirvana_Nut85 said:
Volterra_90 said:

I think it will be sucessful in Japan no matter what. But I think this thing had the potential to be a beast, not sure about it now because of Nintendo's skill to missmanage winning concepts. The only way to know is wait for it. I know for a fact that in my group of friends, we were thing nking on buying 3, and after the price announcement in Europe the count is zero. Obviously we're not the mass market, but I read lots of posts in FB and Twitter saying something similar. Yay to 250€' Nope to 330

My 3.5 mil was more out of frustration. I'm sure it will sell more but am truly diasappointed. Due to the current drop of the Canadian currency, a $299 U.S price point puts the console at $452.00 CDN (after taxes) and I might add was the cost of the PS4 at launch, which is way to much for a Nintendo console. To put it in perspective, Wii U was $326 after tax and Wii was $290. Both consoles were bundled with games.

That sucks, man . No wonder you're frustrated. I have to put some extra effort to buy it too, since I've been expected a Zelda bundle around 300€, and I'll pay 100€ for that.



Launching in March isn't the best. It could be kind of slow until the holidays. Nintendo said they will have 2 million shipped during March.

Not sure how many are going to be interested to buy in the launch period.  There's Zelda, but it's also on Wii U so I'd expect that will make some Zelda fans not get the Switch version.



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