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Zelda: Breath of the Wild Sales Predictions

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After all the info we got regarding both Breath of the Wild and the Nintendo Switch, I think it's easier to predict sales for the game than it was 6 months ago (when I saw some threads about it). 

So, I want to ask you guys: How much do you think it will sell First Week and Lifetime

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I wonder if it can do 1m FW. It might seen easy at first seeing that this is a 3D console Zelda releasing with a big amount of hype, but at the same time the Wii U is dying, and if the game comes out for the Switch in June as rumored, the user base will be small (like 4m at best?). What do you think?



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

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Lifetime 5 million if Switch is a ok console.
If Switch is a smash hit, 13 million

First week: 500k on WiiU, 1 million on Switch.



My grammar errors are justified by the fact that I am a brazilian living in Brazil. I am also very stupid.

FW 4m
LT  12m



Too early to say, in my opinion

If stock isn't an issue for the Wii U version, it can definitely sell 1.5+ M



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LipeJJ said:

After all the info we got regarding both Breath of the Wild and the Nintendo Switch, I think it's easier to predict sales for the game than it was 6 months ago (when I saw some threads about it). 

So, I want to ask you guys: How much do you think it will sell First Week and Lifetime

------------

I wonder if it can do 1m FW. It might seen easy at first seeing that this is a 3D console Zelda releasing with a big amount of hype, but at the same time the Wii U is dying, and if the game comes out for the Switch in June as rumored, the user base will be small (like 4m at best?). What do you think?

I think you didn't put to much thought into it. The next Zelda isn't suppose to just gather the earliest NS adopters who already own it. This game is a flagship title and will easily bring a lot of people into the next Nintendo platform(Switch) too.

It's just my way of seeing it though.

So I predict the game will sell 3.5M first week. I'm not sure with lifetime sells so I guess I'll go with an estimate of 7M-10M.



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Mar1217 said:
LipeJJ said:

After all the info we got regarding both Breath of the Wild and the Nintendo Switch, I think it's easier to predict sales for the game than it was 6 months ago (when I saw some threads about it). 

So, I want to ask you guys: How much do you think it will sell First Week and Lifetime

------------

I wonder if it can do 1m FW. It might seen easy at first seeing that this is a 3D console Zelda releasing with a big amount of hype, but at the same time the Wii U is dying, and if the game comes out for the Switch in June as rumored, the user base will be small (like 4m at best?). What do you think?

I think you didn't put to much thought into it. The next Zelda isn't suppose to just gather the earliest NS adopters who already own it. This game is a flagship title and will easily bring a lot of people into the next Nintendo platform(Switch) too.

It's just my way of seeing it though.

So I predict the game will sell 3.5M first week. I'm not sure with lifetime sells so I guess I'll go with an estimate of 7M-10M.

I know, I think it can/will do 1m+ FW combined, I'm just saying this isn't 100% guaranteed yet. It will need a great attach rate for the first week to do it.

Btw, can you do a breakdown between Switch/WiiU of your 3.5m prediction? I'm guessing you're expecting the Switch version to do at least 2m FW? In that case, the attach rate would need to be something like 50% FW. I believe that's unprecedented (or extremely rare) for a game not bundled.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

First week (assuming it releases simultaneously on the Switch and the Wii U, and it's 3 months after Switch release):
400k Wii U, 700k Switch.

Lifetime: 1.5m Wii U, 6m Switch.



2 million first week Switch
300K FW Wii U

LT 11 Million Switch
Wii U 1.3 million.



7m



First week 2m, lifetime 7m.