I'd say between 50-80M, but that's just guessing without knowing almost anything, just for fun xD. It's definitely too soon to make a prediction.
I can see it being more successful than Wii-U and Gamecube, but I can't see it selling more than 40 million units, especially with 3DS staying on the market. All this third party support is going to be very short-lived once third party publishers see, as usual with Nintendo consoles, their games sell like absolute crap. I don't see the hardware producing any good ports, and it's going to end up just like the Wii-U did in that regard.
0331 Happiness is a belt-fed weapon
10 million in the first year is what I see.
Meh I agree it will be disappointing to a lot of people and will fall short of usual Nintendo hardware sales (home+handheld) if this is the only system they're going to release, but surely it'll beat 10m...
Nah no way. I think due to the contraction of the handheld market, the relative weakness of the Nintendo brand, and the likely high overlap in Wii U/3DS ownership will keep it from doing crazy well. But I think it could anywhere from 30 to 50 million units.
Bet with Adamblaziken:
I bet that on launch the Nintendo Switch will have no built in in-game voice chat. He bets that it will. The winner gets six months of avatar control over the other user.
I'm with you OP.
Switch is not bad, but the concept is NOT "exciting" like the Wii's controller was.
The Wii was expAnsive(not expensive, expansive). The Switch is "reductive". It tries to contain or reduce the experience that was otherwise more grand.
I doubt it, because they've named it after the hybrid concept. BUT.... maybe there's something huge we haven't seen yet. That's what I'm hoping anyway.
AbbathTheGrim said:
Problem is that when it comes to "games" WiiU had all those Nintendo games and a relatively successful new one in Splatoon and look at how much the WiiU sold in spite of those games. When it comes to Nintendo consoles, it seems like Nintendo's best case scenarios are reduced to doing something that will attract people who would otherwise not buy consoles, and that doesn't seem to be the case with the Switch. The precedent dictates that if Nintendo doesn't accomplish what they did with the Wii, then they are destined to remain on the shadow of Sony console-sales-wise. The thing that the Switch does have going on for it though I admit, is the promise that those handheld games from Nintendo will be on it, so you will have to buy Switch for Pokemon Fuschia, Monter Hunter, etc. |
You're right that Wii U had some great games, one of the major problems though was that they were too far and few in between. It has not been uncommon to go 3-4 months in between big releases on Wii U.
Quality wasnt an issue but quantity certainly was, 3DS had a pretty good mix of quality & quantity and since Switch will be a successor to 3DS & Wii U than its possible that we could be looking at a device with 3DS level software output & Wii U level software quality which would make for a very appealing device.
As long as they get the marketing & price right than they should do pretty well.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
It should sell 10 million but struggle to reach 20 Million. It will do well in Japan but its just the other 100 plus countries that it will struggle in.
it will be interesting to see where the "hardcore" nintendo fanbase is,WiiU sales don't give out much hope right now at 13m
GC 21m N64 32m
portable "console Mario" will have to go some to get over the N64 numbers,surely most casuals already game on the go these days on pads,pods and what not
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