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Prediction:Switch will go on to sell 100+ million units

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I believe the Nintendo Switch will sell over 160 million units, surpassing both Nintendo DS and Sony Playstation 2. This is based on two reasons. 1) It sold over 12 million units despite shortages. 2) It is a Hybrid console, catering to both groups.



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They should pass 60 million because it’s portable. 100 million plus would be great.



Nautilus said:
Oh, someone necrobumped my thread.Was planning to do that after the financial report, but I dont mind people doing it now.

When will it take place? I only know it's this month. xD



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

tag !



RolStoppable said:
Asedebck said:

35 million at best. Its pretty save to say that.
The Nvidia Tegra k1 and even the x1 (which isnt evend designed for mobile usage) both are already was inferior to the market leading ships made by Apple, Samsung and Snapdragon. Just check those benchmarks.

So EVEN if the Switch concept will work, Android and Apple will adopt very very soon and will deliver similar solutions (controller addons) to their smartphones and tablets. So people will be able to play skyrim on an iPhone as well (third party obviosly will also port those games to that huge install bases when they are doing a arm port for the switch anyway and its beeing succesfull).

So in the end people will just use their phones which are often as capable as the switch. In some years even WAY more capable.
Only reason to get the switch will be nintendos first party games. Only reason to get the wii u was that as well. We all know how that turned out.

 

I predict 25 mio units sold Lifetime.

Maybe I should make a prediction as well:

I don't like the way you think, so I'll get you banned real hard before this week is over.

Looks like two predictions in this thread will come true or already have. Amazing. 



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vivster said:
I'd call anything below 50m a failure. Even 50 or 60m would show that the Nintendo and handheld fanbase has massively declined. Anything above 60m I'd call a success, though I don't see that yet.

How about now? What do you see. 



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spurgeonryan said:
vivster said:
I'd call anything below 50m a failure. Even 50 or 60m would show that the Nintendo and handheld fanbase has massively declined. Anything above 60m I'd call a success, though I don't see that yet.

How about now? What do you see. 

Didn’t you read what he said? The man is blind!



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

Wish the two people I saw who predicted greater than ps2 sales had made a thread, can't find them now either.

One said >155m, the other said "a league above the ps2".

Now that's a BOLD prediction.



LTD: PS4 - 125m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 51m

2020: PS4 - 9m, Switch - 22.5m, XBO - 2.5m, PS5 - 4.5m, XBX - 2.8m

it has a real good chance at 100m. they need to sell 20+m this year, i think pokemon can give them that. Labo will attract some new users mainly younger children. i think they should dip into the wii-ds back catalog to attract older casuals.



bluetoad said:

it has a real good chance at 100m. they need to sell 20+m this year, i think pokemon can give them that. Labo will attract some new users mainly younger children. i think they should dip into the wii-ds back catalog to attract older casuals.

The key is release schedule, they blew out in 2017 with new titles. Now in 2018 they're filling gaps in with WiiU ports as they did to a lesser extent last year, the question is if the studios they have will be ready to release games on a consistent basis before they run out of WiiU games to port. xD

Essentially the WiiU releases are playing for time, giving their studios more time to get new games ready, while making sure there isn't a drought of releases.



LTD: PS4 - 125m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 51m

2020: PS4 - 9m, Switch - 22.5m, XBO - 2.5m, PS5 - 4.5m, XBX - 2.8m