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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - (Update: 100 million mark reached!)Prediction:Switch will go on to sell 100+ million units

Barkley on 27 October 2016
DonFerrari said:
BlkPaladin said:
I doubt there will be any console/handhelds that will be able to breech 100million anymore unless they drag out the generation like they did with the Wii/PS3/360. I think that we will see systems only reach 50-to-80 million range from now on.

With Sony releasing PS4Pro now I don't think we will see PS5 for the next 2 years, so there is a possibility of it crossing 80M, but I agree with you that 100M may be a hard task.

80M for PS4 is very likely, outselling the Wii is certainly a possibility imo.



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DonFerrari on 27 October 2016
Barkley said:
DonFerrari said:

With Sony releasing PS4Pro now I don't think we will see PS5 for the next 2 years, so there is a possibility of it crossing 80M, but I agree with you that 100M may be a hard task.

80M for PS4 is very likely, outselling the Wii is certainly a possibility imo.

It will depend on how long sony will keep PS4 and Pro alive and what will be their next system.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

fuallmofus on 27 October 2016

yea if its 1$



curl-6 on 27 October 2016
Wyrdness said:
curl-6 said:

Nintendo's trend for the past 6 years has been one of users migrating away; whether that will change with Switch remains to be seen, but there is a downward trend that Switch will have to reverse before it can start gaining ground. For Nintendo's sake, I hope 3DS is killed off soon. If they stubbornly keep it on life support, one of Switch's biggest potential advantages, a unified library, will go down the drain.

A downward trend if you ignore the DS and Wii sure but those two prove they can very much reverse things especially when they start up a new brand. DS was also around for a year after 3DS launched it's nothing new that's how they've always phased out handhelds it's obvious all the main first party titles are already being readied for Switch.

I wasn't ignoring Wii and DS; as I said, I was referring to the downward trend from 2010 to the present, not the decline from NES to Gamecube.



AZWification on 28 October 2016
fuallmofus said:
yea if its 1$

For that price it woud probably sell 1 billion.



                
       ---Member of the official Squeezol Fanclub---

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160rmf on 15 January 2018
naruball said:

Seems like a lot of people learned close to nothing from the previous generation and their failed predictions.

I keep hearing how wiiu wasn't well received. That couldn't be further from the truth. Reaction on vgc was extremely positive and there was post after post praising the concept and stating with absolute confidence that it would surpass the wii. That didn't happen and NS selling better than perhaps even ps4 is just crazytalk.

I still remember the threads claiming that it had won Japan before even coming out because it was getting a Monster Hunter game. We all know how that turned out.

Most people simply don't game outside their houses. Things have changed. The sooner people realise this, the better. But something tells me that even if it fails, there will be similar threads in like 5 years arguing that the next ninty console will sell x, because NS wasn't a good concept, it had a stupid name, or whatever. Mark my words.

No numbers? Anyway bookmarked

daredevil.shark said:
Tagging for future bumps. I don't think it will cross 30 million mark. It will be fun in two years to visit.

Indeed. Just 9 months from now on.



 

 

We reap what we sow

LipeJJ on 15 January 2018
160rmf said:
naruball said:

Seems like a lot of people learned close to nothing from the previous generation and their failed predictions.

I keep hearing how wiiu wasn't well received. That couldn't be further from the truth. Reaction on vgc was extremely positive and there was post after post praising the concept and stating with absolute confidence that it would surpass the wii. That didn't happen and NS selling better than perhaps even ps4 is just crazytalk.

I still remember the threads claiming that it had won Japan before even coming out because it was getting a Monster Hunter game. We all know how that turned out.

Most people simply don't game outside their houses. Things have changed. The sooner people realise this, the better. But something tells me that even if it fails, there will be similar threads in like 5 years arguing that the next ninty console will sell x, because NS wasn't a good concept, it had a stupid name, or whatever. Mark my words.

No numbers? Anyway bookmarked

daredevil.shark said:
Tagging for future bumps. I don't think it will cross 30 million mark. It will be fun in two years to visit.

Indeed. Just 9 months from now on.

OMG, that’s some serious crow being served. It will easily cross 30m this year. Hahahahaha



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

Barkley on 15 January 2018
LipeJJ said:

OMG, that’s some serious crow being served. It will easily cross 30m this year. Hahahahaha

Considering the date it's not that serious.

I'm sure some predicted <40m or even 30m as late as May 2017.



Flilix on 15 January 2018

Eh, I give this necrobump a 6/10. People barely knew what the Switch was, so even the very high or very low predictions aren't really stupid.



Flilix on 15 January 2018
Valdath said:
100 million?
Wow the NS is really going to kill it.

Sweet!

Best prediction in the thread. The NS is killing it right now.

Last edited by Flilix - on 21 January 2018