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Forums - Gaming Discussion - According to analsyst cosoles will die out between 5 to 10 year time.

Hey, executive of YoYo games: 1976 called, they want their arguments about the future of computing back. The same thing that kept dumb terminals from being popular then will continue to keep them from being popular now.



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So where are all the flying cars that where promised to arrive back in the 1950's ?



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I hope console die out, for $350 you can build a PC that can run anything but Crysis.



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I think it's more likely PC gaming gets marginalized further like has been the case for many years already. The PS3 is already technically capable to take gaming beyond top PC showcase titles such Crysis in significant ways. The best sold PC games aren't especially demanding.

I think in the future less people will upgrade or buy new PCs, consumers are already wary of Vista. For gaming and movies, entertainment in general an advanced dedicated low effort device like the PS3 IMO makes more sense underneath HDTVs for many consumers.



Naughty Dog: "At Naughty Dog, we're pretty sure we should be able to see leaps between games on the PS3 that are even bigger than they were on the PS2."

PS3 vs 360 sales

ssj12 said:
I hope console die out, for $350 you can build a PC that can run anything but Crysis.
even with a $350 PC you can run Crysis, but it wouldn't be at very decent specs.

 



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MikeB said:
I think it's more likely PC gaming gets marginalized further like has been the case for many years already. The PS3 is already technically capable to take gaming beyond top PC showcase titles such Crysis in significant ways. The best sold PC games aren't especially demanding.

I think in the future less people will upgrade or buy new PCs, consumers are already wary of Vista. For gaming and movies, entertainment in general an advanced dedicated low effort device like the PS3 IMO makes more sense underneath HDTVs for many consumers.

More and more people are buying PC's today, and PC gaming is also making more and more money than before, most of it from digital distribution.

And the PS3 most likely wouldn't even be able to reach Crysis' High Settings.



I think there is an element of truth to this that some people probably do not like to admit ...

Up until the release of the Nintendo DS and Wii the primary motivating factor for people to "upgrade" from one console generation to the next console generation has been the processing power of the new systems; we see a lot of this continue today with people like MikeB talking about how the Cell processor is 20 times as powerful as a 4 year old G4 processor when performing the fast fourier transform without any consideration of what that means or why that would be important.

This focus on technology can not survive for much longer being that within 5 years for the same (inflation adjusted) price of a PSP or XBox 360 you will be able to buy a laptop that is able to provide 3D graphics at a similar quality to what a cutting-edge console will be able to provide.

Why consoles and portable gaming systems will survive is that their hardware is dedicated to gaming which means that their user-interfaces can be perfectly suited to providing a better gameplay experience than any lap-top can provide.



HappySqurriel said:

I think there is an element of truth to this that some people probably do not like to admit ...

Up until the release of the Nintendo DS and Wii the primary motivating factor for people to "upgrade" from one console generation to the next console generation has been the processing power of the new systems; we see a lot of this continue today with people like MikeB talking about how the Cell processor is 20 times as powerful as a 4 year old G4 processor when performing the fast fourier transform without any consideration of what that means or why that would be important.

This focus on technology can not survive for much longer being that within 5 years for the same (inflation adjusted) price of a PSP or XBox 360 you will be able to buy a laptop that is able to provide 3D graphics at a similar quality to what a cutting-edge console will be able to provide.

The PS3 specs are impressive, which is important because this allows for a longer lifespan combined with high definition graphics. Consumers are now buying HDTVs en masse, so this specs upgrade makes perfectly sense for the long run and makes a big difference in user experience.

IMO the console focuss should be on comfort and seamless user experience. I have been a long time PC gamer, but for me it's time for change in this regard. The PC gaming and multimedia experience has many shortcomings and the benefits with regard to gaming and multimedia with the PS3 generation and HDTVs have become far fewer.



Naughty Dog: "At Naughty Dog, we're pretty sure we should be able to see leaps between games on the PS3 that are even bigger than they were on the PS2."

PS3 vs 360 sales

alpha_dk said:
Hey, executive of YoYo games: 1976 called, they want their arguments about the future of computing back. The same thing that kept dumb terminals from being popular then will continue to keep them from being popular now.

I'm glad I'm not the only one who noticed this about the article. I wonder if there's a survey of how often this thin client wishful thinking has popped up since then?

 



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MikeB said:
HappySqurriel said:

I think there is an element of truth to this that some people probably do not like to admit ...

Up until the release of the Nintendo DS and Wii the primary motivating factor for people to "upgrade" from one console generation to the next console generation has been the processing power of the new systems; we see a lot of this continue today with people like MikeB talking about how the Cell processor is 20 times as powerful as a 4 year old G4 processor when performing the fast fourier transform without any consideration of what that means or why that would be important.

This focus on technology can not survive for much longer being that within 5 years for the same (inflation adjusted) price of a PSP or XBox 360 you will be able to buy a laptop that is able to provide 3D graphics at a similar quality to what a cutting-edge console will be able to provide.

The PS3 specs are impressive, which is important because this allows for a longer lifespan combined with high definition graphics. Consumers are now buying HDTVs en masse, so this specs upgrade makes perfectly sense for the long run and makes a big difference in user experience.

IMO the console focuss should be on comfort and seamless user experience. I have been a long time PC gamer, but for me it's time for change in this regard. The PC gaming and multimedia experience has many shortcomings and the benefits with regard to gaming and multimedia with the PS3 generation and HDTVs have become far fewer.


The point wasn't whether the PS3's specs are impressive or not, it was that the focus on technical specifications is a dead end for the market. People may argue that a $500 laptop can not run Crysis, but that is really not important; these systems can run games like Half Life 2, and the difference between Crysis and Half Life 2 to the typical consumer is fairly small (and will be even smaller for similar games in 5 years).

I don't disagree that the seemless user experience will be very important to the survival of game consoles; in general the fact that they're dedicated machines is what will make them survive, anything that takes away from their dedicated focus is probably a move in the wrong direction.