Oh, and in regards to the polling data, candidates typically get a bump in the polls following the convention. Let's see what the polls look like a week or two from now before we draw any conclusions based on polls from the past week. Prior to the conventions, polls showed Hillary performing better against Trump than Obama did against Romney at the same point in the year. Also, it's worth pointing out that the U.S. doesn't decide the President via direct national popular vote, but rather indirectly by the Electoral College. Unless Trump can flip a state that is consistently but not strongly blue (e.g., Pennsylvania), then he absolutely must win Florida or else he loses the election, and even if he carries Florida he would still need to capture most of the remaining swing states.