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Forums - Sony Discussion - What if MGS4 and GT5 P bombs.?

NJ5 on 26 March 2008
Riot Of The Blood said:
NJ5, are you saying that anything under 1m in Japan is a bomb?

 

No.

 



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Onimusha12 on 26 March 2008

Both will do very well, perhaps not as good as their predicessors, but they will do well.



Riot Of The Blood on 26 March 2008
Onimusha12 said:
Both will do very well, perhaps not as good as their predicessors, but they will do well.

 

What makes you think Meta Gear won't do as well as past Metal Gear games? I know it will be impossible for GT5 to do so, but Metal Gear is pretty much a lock.

 



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d21lewis on 26 March 2008

If both games fail, I will bite my own nose off. I swear it!



kingofwale on 26 March 2008
Noobie said:

So far all the discussion on the Sony forum is regarding how good MGS 4 and GT5 P is going to be... and nobody try to remember the past trend... apart from few partial hits like DMC4 and (i don't remember any other) :), all the games have mostly bombed on PS3

So to cut the long story short.. i would say there is a reasonable chance that MGS4 and GT5 P bombs... So far PS3 has no million seller on day 1. and i m not sure if it will have 1 game like this in this yr atleast.

So there are 2 question wot amount of sales will determine that the MGS4 or GT5 P is a success or a bomb..

i think for GT5 P anything below 500k on week one in each Europe and NA is going to classify it as a bombed

For MGS4 i think anything below750k on week one in each Europe and NA and 400k for Jap is going to classify it as a bombed...

Second question is wot is percentage chances of each of these games to get bombed again on PS3..

I would say there is a reasonable chance like 35% for them to get bombed...

So wot u say.?

 

 


 over 1 million first week for GT5P is 'bombed'? 2 million MGS4 first week is "bombed"?

Ookay, what a noob, ;)



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Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
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Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
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Faxanadu on 26 March 2008
kingofwale said:
Noobie said:

 

 


over 1 million first week for GT5P is 'bombed'? 2 million MGS4 first week is "bombed"?

Ookay, what a noob, ;)


Actually, I have to agree with you on that.

2 million MGS4 first week for not being a bomb is a bit off.  



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Imthelegend on 26 March 2008

I don't think they will bomb but with MGS how much will they need to sell to profit on it. It seems to have been in development forever and I think they will need to sell at least 3M just to cover costs. I would put GT3P in this basket as well but the main game will make up for any chance of losses.



 


 

NJ5 on 26 March 2008
Faxanadu said:
kingofwale said:
Noobie said:

 

 


over 1 million first week for GT5P is 'bombed'? 2 million MGS4 first week is "bombed"?

Ookay, what a noob, ;)


Actually, I have to agree with you on that.

2 million MGS4 first week for not being a bomb is a bit off.


The only problem is that it's a strawman. No one said 2 million first week would be a bomb (not even the OP).

 



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Faxanadu on 26 March 2008
NJ5 said:
Faxanadu said:
kingofwale said:
Noobie said:

 

 


over 1 million first week for GT5P is 'bombed'? 2 million MGS4 first week is "bombed"?

Ookay, what a noob, ;)


Actually, I have to agree with you on that.

2 million MGS4 first week for not being a bomb is a bit off.


The only problem is that it's a strawman. No one said 2 million first week would be a bomb (not even the OP).

 


 ahem: 750 K + 750 K + 400 K = 1.9 million, being about 2 million, right?



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The views expressed here may be personal and/or offensive and are not necessarily the views of Faxanadu.

coolestguyever on 26 March 2008

Well considering GT5P has 1 mil pre-orders I've heard in Others alone.

MGS4 is looking good, sold out of the bundle in Japan.

Wow if both of these are true, the chances they bomb are like >1%