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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: Uncharted 4 will sell roughly double Gears 4

bananaking21 said:
walsufnir said:

20% adoption rate? Then it will have serious bundling, in my opinion.

so PS4 will stay at 40 million sales forever?

Great math! =D



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I tĥink Gears is gonna smash Halo 5. There's a lot of hype in the air for this game, the series is a bit less fatigued than Halo, and it's also in less direct competition with CoD. I predict it'll be the best selling XBO exclusive for a good while, and go on to sell at least 5mil. 6mil+ if it's good. I can see UC4 selling in the 10mil range, so Gears at %55-60 seeems pretty reasonable.



My prediction is this:

Uncharted 4 will sell more than the "Greatest Game Line-Up in the Entire History of the Xbox Console Family".

Of 2015 of course, i dont know about the 2016 one, but i think that it will too.



AEGRO said:
My prediction is this:

Uncharted 4 will sell more than the "Greatest Game Line-Up in the Entire History of the Xbox Console Family".

Of 2015 of course, i dont know about the 2016 one, but i think that it will too.

Easily...



I can see it selling at least double GOW4 numbers.
U4: 7m
GOW4: 3.5m



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Well I doubt Gears 4 will stay at 5 million really. Even though the install Base us smaller I think Gears 4 will at least hit six million.And I doubt Uncharted 4 will reach 12 million, it will do 10 million though but not much more I am afraid.



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

I'd go with triple or close
9+ vs 3.5



BraLoD said:
the_dark_lewd said:

No way will it sell 10 million.
Only open world adventures, FPSs and sports games can sell 10 million+ nowadays.
And occasionally Mario or Pokemon.

The best Uncharted has done is about 7 million. I think this will probably end up around the same.

The Last of Us would like to have a chat with you.

Blah

I wont argue about  a sell being a sell, but your not necessarily correct. The original release of TLoU did about 6mill which is in line with rest of ND's other games. It was re-released on PS4, as we know re-releases are majority bought by people who bought the game before. No version has come more than halfway to reaching 10mill. When it comes trying to pinpoint growth in a series the original release is the most important.  



Xxain said:
BraLoD said:

The Last of Us would like to have a chat with you.

Blah

I wont argue about  a sell being a sell, but your not necessarily correct. The original release of TLoU did about 6mill which is in line with rest of ND's other games. It was re-released on PS4, as we know re-releases are majority bought by people who bought the game before. No version has come more than halfway to reaching 10mill. When it comes trying to pinpoint growth in a series the original release is the most important.  

It did quite a bit more than 6 million.



It's a great game and it will sell insanely week but some of you are overestimating Uncharted. Uncharted 3 was bundled and given away like mad and TLoU was bundled on PS3 and many (like me) bought it twice.

If you're including bundles that give the game away for free (which, as far as I know don't exist yet) and second console sales (Ps4 and Ps5?) then I don't think U4 will reach 10 million. Then again, I don't think Gears 4 will reach 5 million.