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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: Uncharted 4 will sell roughly double Gears 4

You heard it hear first folks! UC4 will sell more or almost double than Gears 4. at the very maximum Gears will sell 55%-60% of UC4's total sales. i am speaking about total and world wide sales. 

 

after the news that Uncharted sold a total of 28 million units world wide, setting the NDC at an estimate of roughly 5 million, i think its very clear that Uncharted is a beast worldwide. and i have no doubt UC4 will grow from UC3. while i think Gears 4, just like Halo, will see a downward trend in sales. resulting in a big gap between the two. i also think gears wont be able to live of to the quality of the previous ones, and UC4 will trump it when it comes to that regard, helping my case. 

 

anyways, there it is. you are welcome. 



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Uncharted 4 will cross 10 million in 2016. It will outsell Wii U in lifetime. So I predict it will outsell gears by three times.



It can't be more than or almost double. It has to be one or the other.
Double is possible yes. Its gonna come down to reviews, and enthusiasm. Also, Gears will be launching aroung a ton of high profile releases. How many will turn around and get Battlefield the following week or vise versa. Also there is the curious case of Judgment. I think this game may be able to overcome series fatigue.



daredevil.shark said:
Uncharted 4 will cross 10 million in 2016. It will outsell Wii U in lifetime. So I predict it will outsell gears by three times.

20% adoption rate? Then it will have serious bundling, in my opinion.



It will happen imo.
Uncharted 4 will double Gears of War 4 sales.



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walsufnir said:
daredevil.shark said:
Uncharted 4 will cross 10 million in 2016. It will outsell Wii U in lifetime. So I predict it will outsell gears by three times.

20% adoption rate? Then it will have serious bundling, in my opinion.

so PS4 will stay at 40 million sales forever?



Is it also because there is roughly double the PS4 to XB1? :P



bananaking21 said:
walsufnir said:

20% adoption rate? Then it will have serious bundling, in my opinion.

so PS4 will stay at 40 million sales forever?

10 million as a 20% addoption rate means he predicts PS4 will be at 50 million by year end. 



Looking at how Halo 5 did with a way bigger marketing push and the Halo brand behind, I don't think Gears of War 4 can pull off the same numbers as the first trilogy. Plus the fact that Gears 4 features new protagonist and is being made by a different developer makes this a pretty safe bet.



Not even a second guess at this point.