Soundwave said:
That's not neccessarily a positive e for Trump though because what that shows is while he is successful at attracting a certain group of people, that also comes with a lot of people who are coming out to vote *against* him. High voter turn out is good for Democrats, always has been.
Well, then one would excpect that he'd lose the primary. Instead he is about to have the most votes any republican canditate has ever had in history. Which tells me he brings more people to vote for him than against him. Also, a record number of democrats have voted for him as well
He can try to attack Hilary in the same way by huffing and puffing and calling names and all that but I don't think it will be as successful of a tactic against Clinton and it could back fire, he tried the same thing with Carly Fiorina by implying she was too ugly to be president and I think that was one of the rare times he back pedalled sensing that women were really pissed off by that.
Carly dropped out twice tho, didnt she? Also, I doubt he'll attack Hilary on her looks, there are way, waay more jucy issues he can attack her with.
The polls aren't always accurate, but RCP (real clear politics) is a fairly decent indicator, for example Obama only had double digit leads over Romney like twice the entire cycle. Clinton already has hit 13+ up on Trump three times.
Again, many polls predicted he wont even last past the first debate, many predicted Bush will be GOP frontrunner, look how that turned out. Also, a recent Rassmussen report showed him above Clinton , and he barely started on her. I know that many polls still favour Clinton, but there is a lot of time from here till november.
This is why IMO the Republican establishment does not want him as the candidate because they fear he'll getted routed in the general election, and demographics are not neccessarily great for him, he'll probably lose big among women (who were 54% of the vote bloc last cycle) and blacks and latinos (who are about 1/3 of the population now).
Do you know what demographic Clinton is doing terribly with? White men. Also guess which demographic is usually the biggest one? AS for Blacks and Lations, they voted last time and in 2008 based on identity politics, meaning for a minorty race (Obama), when there is a choice between 2 whites again, I doubt they'll be as active as before
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