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Forums - Gaming Discussion - My prediction of Xenoblade Chronicles X was true.

How can you expect X to sell a million when the previous installment didn't even do that with a 100m+ user base?Even Pachter is able to predict something like this.



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Do we even know what it's LTD sales are?



Nintation360 said:

Well I predicted that Xenoblade Chronicles X WON'T sell over 1 Million times and I was right! I really wanted the Xenoblade series to have a much larger fanbase! It's been almost a month now and we only seen about 10k rise in sales. So I'm confirming myself it won't ever sell 1 Million lifetime.

I didn't get the game myself because I was interested in getting other games at the time. and I probably won't ever get it unless it recieves a price drop on a sale or something.  

Nintendo games dont drop price unless they are used or in a special nintendo discount line. 

You are free to not buy it. Doesn't bother me one bit. It's your loss.



It's like other "hard core" Wii U game that the Nintendo fans rave about pre-release from IPs that have a history of only modest sales. All of a sudden these franchises were going to do great things for Wii U and sell much higher than past sales woud suggest.

Bayonetta 2, fatal frame, and this. All got hyped as going to be big on Wii U and push hardware.



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Considering it was released about 3 months ago and has sold 750,000 not counting digital... it's pretty safe to say it's gonna hit 1 million.

Also take in the fact that not even the original xenoblade has sold 1 million.

This post makes no sense.



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binary solo said:
It's like other "hard core" Wii U game that the Nintendo fans rave about pre-release from IPs that have a history of only modest sales. All of a sudden these franchises were going to do great things for Wii U and sell much higher than past sales woud suggest.

Bayonetta 2, fatal frame, and this. All got hyped as going to be big on Wii U and push hardware.

Well, I never thought Bayonetta 2 or Fatal Frame had a chance.  Bayo wasn't a huge hit before and it was now coming to only one platform with a small install base.  And Fatal Frame has been a consistent retail disappointments since the first one :P.  

 

But with XCX and the XC franchise, I believed and still firmly believe it COULD be big.  It has numerous elements that would appeal to the new direction the core market is going.  But Nintendo has GOT to promote *in the clutch*.  They can't just do trailers and build up vids on their channel and then promote (admittedly well) on ONE channel for like one month.  Xenoblade has potential to be big, but only if Nintendo invests in making it big.  The fact is that Splatoon is the only game outside of the usual group Nintendo promotes that got any meaningful promotion.  XCX should have had ads on multiple channels and in theaters during the Star Wars showings (seriously, how the hell do you miss THAT opportunity as a SCIFI RPG?!).  

 

People expecting these games to just walk out with minimal support and do what Zelda or Mario do are deluded, yes.  But that doesn't mean the potential isn't there.  After all, the only reason Zelda and Mario can go out and sell millions with minimal support is because they have a reputation that is ingrained in people's brains.  It's unreasonable to expect young new IP to do the same.



HintHRO said:
How can you expect X to sell a million when the previous installment didn't even do that with a 100m+ user base?Even Pachter is able to predict something like this.

For multiple reasons and the previous installment + previous userbase is not very relevant when it was a new IP.



Shipped + digital should be pretty, or a little, close to 1 million. It sold 30k or so just in Japan digitally. Maybe 850k worldwide?



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It did about as good as you can expect on the Wii U. I haven't bought it yet but I will in a couple weeks. It won't pass a million though yea.



currently playing: Skyward Sword, Mario Sunshine, Xenoblade Chronicles X

Xenoblade Chronicles X is definitely not aimed for a casual public, this might be one of the most hardcore JRPG series Nintendo ever had since Fire Emblem. If anything, i'm surprised that the sequel managed to sell better than the original, and it's numbers are respectable if you consider the user base of the console.