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Forums - Gaming Discussion - When do you think the Nextgen systems will launch?.

2021



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Late 2018



2020 for Ps5 and possible xbox successor, end of 2016 for NX handheld and end of 2017 for NX home console imo.



Dont talk about next gen, I just got my ps4



 Been away for a bit, but sneaking back in.

Gaming on: PS4, PC, 3DS. Got a Switch! Mainly to play Smash

Personally I would like to see next-gen arrive late 2018 since it is already obvious PS4/X1 are both severely limited powerwise. A lot of games have to be toned down already and it is going to get only worse. Yes there will still be few exclusives that will shine but for AAA-multiplatform games the downgrades will be harsh compared to the original vision of developers. I believe console gaming is going the way of PC and all games will become forwards-compatible and at least 1-gen backwards compatible. Online will become cross-platform.

 

Let's say PS5/X2 release in 2018. There will not be any next-gen exclusives but games will be designed for the PS4/X1 spec for years because of the massive install base and PS5/X2 would only offer the same game with higher graphic settings. The generational transition would happen slowly and naturally and nobody would be left out of new games. There is no reason not to offer a better more powerful gaming console for consumers who want it. I believe there will be new controller desings but the new controller will not be mandatory. This will make it possible for console manufacturers to sell the new console at a cheaper price and consumers are given the option to use their existing PS4/X1 controllers.

 

If it goes beyond 2018, PS4/X1 will become ridiculously outdated and a lot of consumers will turn to PC-option.



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-Downtown Alanya Kebab magazine issue no.198

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Dont know but it will defeniatley be in this order and at least a year between them
Nintendo
Microsoft
Sony

Thats also the hardware power between them



we know the NX will be '16 or '17.

As far as PS5 & XB2, they won't come out earlier than '19 or '20, unless:

-NX becomes a huge Wii like phenomena
-XB1 gets completely crushed, so they rush first to the UHD market a-la 360 (HD).



Assuming they target something like a 5x improvement on perf/watt, no less than one year after the 10nm manufacturing process becomes mature for high-performance parts. That is about 2019, I guess. Unless 10nm is a short stop-gap node for both TSMC and Samsung/Global Foundries like 20nm was and never fully matures. In that case, consoles would be stuck waiting either for reliable 7nm parts or be forced to release on 14/16nm. But I'm certaing it will be at least two nodes down. The X360 released two nodes down from where the 6th generation consoles released (with a huge increase on power consumption) to great success, so that's probably enough. Also, this is hardly mid-point. Right now is the same as January 2008 or 2009 for the last generation, depending on how you do decide to count.



 

 

 

 

 

PS5/X2: late 2020
NX 2 : early 2020



Bet reminder: I bet with Tboned51 that Splatoon won't reach the 1 million shipped mark by the end of 2015. I win if he loses and I lose if I lost.

haxxiy said:

Assuming they target something like a 5x improvement on perf/watt, no less than one year after the 10nm manufacturing process becomes mature for high-performance parts. That is about 2019, I guess. Unless 10nm is a short stop-gap node for both TSMC and Samsung/Global Foundries like 20nm was and never fully matures. In that case, consoles would be stuck waiting either for reliable 7nm parts or be forced to release on 14/16nm. But I'm certaing it will be at least two nodes down.

I wouldn't hold my breath for 10nm on the launch revisions of 9th gen consoles. These plans of TSMC, Samsung and Global Foundries are always very optimistic and if the transition goes smooth this time, the mobile industry will probably book most capacities of the first 10nm-wave. The shrink is more important for mobile devices (power consumption, die size) and Apple & Co. will pay better. The high end GPUs from Nvidia and AMD and after that consoles, which components shouldn't be too expensive.

That reminds me to this thread, that Sony and Microsoft should have waited with their 8th gen consoles until Nov. 2015 for AMD's "Zen": http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=203241&page=1

That plan would have failed (Zen isn't out yet...) and we would still use 10 year old consoles in 2016.