Gone with the Wind will never be matched, its popularity and amount of views upon rerelease are insane
Gone with the Wind will never be matched, its popularity and amount of views upon rerelease are insane
StarOcean said: Hmmm anything is possible I guess Wasn't the Phantom Menace like a $1bil movie? With all the hype getting pumped out and the nostalgia being everywhere I could see it reach $2.5 bil max. However, if it does break $3.5bil then I will be very impressed |
do you have any idea how much hype there was for the Phantom Menace? inflated dollar wise I am not so sure that the current Star Wars will beat Phantom when adjusted...
people keep over inflating the talk about how many tickets the movie has sold in preorders but bear in mind 20+ years ago people weren't preordering movie tickets online so there isn't much of a comparison in that regard
This movie will not come close to Gone With the Wind, even Avatar (which did pretty insane) didn't come close
whether or not it will go over 2 billion worldwide or beat the original Star Wars in terms of tickets sold will really depend on word of mouth and reviews. It might be able to if it's a good movie but if it ends up getting negative reactions like the prequels then it won't come close. you can't base too much on fanboys swarming and preordering tickets to the movie
not a chance in hell. the only thing that will beat avatar is : avatar 2 in 2017....
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binary solo said: Completely, 100% disagree. 2 billion is definitely in range, even 3 billion is possible, but not almost 3.5 billion. |
based on what?
simply the ticket preorders? I keep seeing articles about that stat, like bragging how many people have already bought tickets for this movie, but pre the 2000s people didn't preorder movie tickets (generally speaking) because there wasn't an accessible way to do so. we have no real factors about how well Star Wars can do in comparison to some of the classics in terms of ticket sales
some of you underestimate how many tickets even the original Star Wars (A New Hope) has sold over time (multiple releases). This movie would have to do very well for a few months to contend with any of the all time most ticket sold and there isn't really a way to currently guage at all how it will do...
again, preorder tickets just do not mean a lot when we consider that the Phantom Menace had insane hype yet obviously we don't have a preorder comparison since preordering tickets was not really a thing pre-mass-online usage.
Star Wars will be big but to expect it to go beyond 2 billion is jumping to conclusions majorly
Wonktonodi said:
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but Avatar is an anamoly, go back and look at the charts, that movie was doing incredibly well for months and months. It is the exception not the rule regarding both the consistenty and size of the movie market these days
SpokenTruth said:
The hype and presense behind The Force Awakens if far higher than the Phantom Menace had. Keep in mind the Phantom Menace had lower ticket prices than today and was panned by fans and critics. If The Force Awakens is quality (and it should given the production and direction crew), $1 billion is an absolute given. Analysts are expecting it to crush several records. Why the doubt? |
the Phantom Menace hype was gigantic hahaha and that film when adjusted for inflation actually is fairly big despite extremely lackluster reviews at the time
the film will be giant in its opening weekend but thats simply because its Star Wars and its during a great time of year (holidays). to predict how well the film will do long term in theaters is impossible considering a ton of that will fall on the reviews and word of mouth about the film. something we have no idea of at the moment
for Star Wars to break 2 billion it will have to be (obviously) a well liked movie and will need repeat viewers or people convincing others to go. again, plenty of bad movies have giant open weekends and then crash. so who knows what will happen
I don't even believe it will reach 1b, let alone 3.4b.
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SpokenTruth said:
Do you realize that all the projections are suggesting a $1 bilion domestic take? That would put it 9th all time with a few more spots easily in reach. |
project based on what? simply online ticket prordering? that's just a naive way to gauge it. Online ticket preordering was non existent pre 2000 so we don't HAVE comparables whatsoever to other films in this franchise or frankly most of the biggest selling movies of all time
an assumption that Star Wars will break 1 billion domestically is insane, that is far from likely
Adjusted Gross is kinda not acurate, tickets ar emore expensive nowadays therefore less ppl go cause some ppl think its too expensive, theres no way in hell that movie wouldve made 3.4 billion if it were released today.
Anyway to answer your question there sno chance at all Star Wars will get anywhere close to that, best case scenario it passes Avengers 1 on box office.
Depending on worldwide audience I'd say 1.5-2 billion range which is huge. I could see it breaking records for opening weekend in the US.