So last week Monster hunter X was released in Japan...
How much did it sell?
Previous 3ds installments first week sales! (Excluding Monster hunter tri because it was a wii port and in the first year of 3ds, so it can't be indicative)
MH4 1.78M 2013 3ds 79k->285k (258% boost)
MH4G 1.5M 2014 23kk-> 264k( 1300% boost mainly thanks to new 3ds/xl release)
Monster hunter is not a straight sequel to M4HG but people in Japan treating it like it is! it ended up with the same weekly sales points in comg net ranking and with 100 less points in pre-orders points rankings!
Also, predict 3DS sales of that week!
Keep in mind that we're almost in the 5th year of 3ds in Japan and it has sold there, the whopping 19.5m units, an overly high number for Japan's video game market current standards or for the own self of 3DS! This year it expectedly faces a big decline regarding 2014 sales (though it was New 3ds/xl release then)! Consequently, it has hit a point of satuaration! Of course that doesn't mean that a major game can't push 3ds sales, but in no way in the great extend as before 2015, especially when the major game it's a sequel, since most people or a big porportion of the game fanbase can be already on the platform since the release of the predecessor...
An important detail is the release of a monster hunter x new 3ds xl bundle!
3ds sales before monster hunter x release week were at 35k, up from 28k in the week before! Also same week last year, sales were at 97k...
The week of MHX release, is when holiday effect in sales iniciates in Japan, so 3ds will be benefited from that too!
It's worth to note that more old 3ds owners may finally want to upgrade to new 3ds/xl given it's enhanced new screen, stable 3d effect, better cpu which has a result of smaller loading time and faster internet browsing /downloading plus its other improvements/additions that are very obvious in Monster hunter titles perfomance, so that bundle might be the occassion about it!
The last game that managed to boost 3ds sales in a considerable rate, was Animal crossing Happy home designer back in July 30th 2015, which sold 520k in its first week and also had a new 3ds xl bundle ! 27k->54k (100% boost)! In addition the remakes, pokemon OR/AS had been released in similar time frame last year, and got 3ds up from 57k to 86k and 3ds sold 97k the next week, which was the beginning of the holiday boost in Japan!
Personally, taking into account the facts that I pointed out, I can see a doubling in sales, viz 35k->70k! As for MHX just like it's ''predecessor''
(I may lower my 3ds prediction since I'm somewhat skeptic about it)
| MEMBERS | 3DS | MHX |
| Tak13 | 70k | 1.5m |
| Jason | 188k | 1.8m |
| Jrnation | 50k | 1.3m |
| spurge | 1.5m | |
| Average | 102k | 1.5m |
