From NeoGAF.
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=184510409&postcount=1656
"I've heard concrete information that Halo 5 launch numbers will be some of the lowest yet. Like 1.4-1.5M low. I'm willing to polygraph with an admin if need be, I've seen how inside information is dealt with here :P"
He was vetted by Head Mod at NeoGAF.
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=184512938&postcount=1681
The source said it was retail only, and other companies like EA, Ubisoft, Take-Two report around 10%-20% digital sales, so probably 20% maximum coming from digital would be around 1.68 - 1.8 million total.
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=184513817&postcount=1706
"There is only one race, the pathetic begging race"