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Forums - Sony Discussion - Prediction: Uncharted 4 will sell 5 - 6 million in FW, 15 + Million LT

LT = Lifetime


LTD = Life to Date




OT: That's way too optimistic. 9m would have been optimistic. 15? No way... I expect a 4m first week best case scenario.



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4 to 5 million first week? no, just no.



Nope, nope, nope. More like 2.5m FW and 8m+ LT.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

I don't understand the crazy first week predictions people are making.

Uncharted isn't a newish franchise for sales to randomly explode. Last of Us 2 I can defenitely see doing significantly better than the first one. Uncharted has stayed fairly consistant over its past two iterations and I doubt things will change much on the PS4. The ps4 is selling more than the ps3 but Uncharted 3 launched to a much more massive installbase and did nowhere near those numbers.

1.5-2mil first week
7-9mil lifetime depending on how hard they go on the bundling. 



2-3M FW
8-10M LT could be more than 10M depending on bundle duration



                                                             

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tbone51 said:
15mil day one

Let's make a bet; I'm going with 12+ copies on day 1.



5 - 6 million? Wow, I wasn't aware the Uncharted series has become the next CoD.

Uncharted 3 and Last of Us had massive hype and both did 1.3 million.

I'm expecting a great opening for Uncharted 4. More like... 2 million.



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lol what, unless they bundle it with every PS4 sold for the year it's never going near 15m, obviously the series is accustomed to mass bundling but not THAT much.

More realistic prediction would be 1.5-2m first week and 7-8m lifetime.



Your first week is way too high. Lifetime sales will be much harder to estimate, however, seeing as Naughty Dog has only gained sales momentum with each succeeding release. However, I think Uncharted 4 will do less than TLOU if you include the Remaster on PS4.

 

 

Oh, & 2-2.2 million first week and not any higher. Uncharted is not a front loaded franchise.



Man you are setting us for a mocking thread in the future with people claiming sony fans expected 15M LT of this game.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

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http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

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