Halo 5 will sell 7.3 Million this year (Prediction)

DonFerrari

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DonFerrari on 03 January 2016

AsGryffynn said:

DonFerrari said:

AsGryffynn said:

33 percent is higher than what you have, unless you're sticking with the 20 percent average, I don't see how...

As for the digital sales of Ori, it has a lot... Halo 5 outsold the digital only IP in XBL. Since Xbox One numbers are higher for the XONE than they are for PC, this shows that Ori and the Blind Forest sold at least 450,000+ downloads in XBL and Halo 5 outdid that.

As for it underperforming... beneath anyone's expectations? Yes. Beneath the average? No. Shall I remind you that Halo 4 had an audience nearly 6 times the size and it relied on that to sell the same number as three, Reach and ODST?

If someone's to blame, it's 343. I myself separated them from Bungie. They are new guys and are not used to dealing with Halo, so I expect a rebound soon. If there's none, then the series died and it's ossified. Time for a reboot...

33% is 60% higher than the ceiling we saw from destiny and we have no real info to tell it on LTD.

How can we be sure that Ori sold more on X1 than on PC? And 450k of Halo 5 (which does include the bundled codes) is a lot different than the 1M+ direct sells on XBL that some are trying to push.

Halo 3 had less of a install base and still outsold Halo 5 more than 2:1, install base isn't everything for a solid and established IP. Halo 1-4 sales have a consistency that Halo 5 falls well under.

And yes 343 and missuse (several revamps, packs, etc made it almost a yearly franchise) are to blame.

Out of curiosity, what was Destiny's ceiling... for the Xbox One?

How can we? Precedent. It seems to happen more often than not. That Ori sold better in PC or Steam is a rarity in and on itself. Look at Titanfall, Ryse, D4, Dead Rising 3... all of them on SteamSpy and all of them with half the XONE sales at most... Even the physical Titanfall fell short of the XBO version.

Well, I am not pushing for 1M+ sales. My estimate is around 550,000-600,000+ and it ties in neatly with the above average 33 percent digital sales rate I had, since the preloading incentive translated into more people than normal downloading the game...

As for Halo 3, are you really comparing the end of an arc created by Bungie to the middle point of one created by 343i? Please, no game will ever outsell Halo 3.

Honestly, the best comparisons are ALL HALOS but Halo 3. After all, Halo 1 was the original and the second only performed better with more players and no digital sales. Halo 4 performed as well as Halo 3 on an 81M+ audience. How are you expecting Halo 5 to cope with either of them when they were either the new game that revolutionized shooters, the sequel to said game or on a larger audience? Adjusted for audience differences (or alternatively, what if Halo 4 had released on only 20 million Xbox 360s) the game outperformed Halo 4. This is hardly rule bending. I am just telling you to bear the circumstances surrounding all games in mind.

I agree with 343i not faring well though. It will take a while for them to take up Bungie's mantle and take the IP in their own direction...

So you use numbers that can be even more untrusthyworthy than VGC compared to numbers not know to prove digital rate and then use the only metric that is favorable *attach rate, to say the game is succesfull and will outsell Halo 4? ok no need to all the math gym, we will just keep these posts saved for the right time.