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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict PS4, Xbox One and Wii U Lifetime Sales

Ps4: 85,000,000-95,000,000
Xbox One: 50,000,000-65,000,000
WiiU: 16,000,000-20,000,000

Year... 2019.



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Rogerioandrade said:
small44 said:


You can't be serious for PS4 right

I´m expecting a dim future for consoles.......

yeah, right. I really don´t think any console will hit 100 million this generation.


What make you think that consoles will have a dim future



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m

In december 2017, I think the sales will be something like that:

PS4 --> 65 million
Xbox One --> 35 million
Wii U --> 17,5 million

But the most probably thing is that about two years and a half the sales will be very different than this. XD



PS4: 110m
XB1: 52m
WiiU: 16m



Miyamotoo said:
Aerys said:
PS4: 110M
X1: 50M
Wii U: 13M

Wii U at end of this year will be around 12m, and you think after that to life time will sell only 1m?


No,  Wii U at the end of this year will be barely ahead of 11M

 

Do i need to remind you last year with the 2 biggest Nintendo games out in the year, it only sold less than 2M between september and january and barely 400k between January and september? So it will be at 11,5M in the best scenario by the end of the year and with luck at 12M by september 2016, then it will reach 13M by the end of 2017, the NX will have been already released and the Wii U sales will be almost insignificant.

 

You are not without knowing NX has 100% chance to be announced in 2016, the effect on WiiU sales , already catastrophic, will be enough to kill it, it will end with around 13M



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

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Aerys said:
Miyamotoo said:

Wii U at end of this year will be around 12m, and you think after that to life time will sell only 1m?


No,  Wii U at the end of this year will be barely ahead of 11M

 

Do i need to remind you last year with the 2 biggest Nintendo games out in the year, it only sold less than 2M between september and january and barely 400k between January and september? So it will be at 11,5M in the best scenario by the end of the year and with luck at 12M by september 2016, then it will reach 13M by the end of 2017, the NX will have been already released and the Wii U sales will be almost insignificant.

 

You are not without knowing NX has 100% chance to be announced in 2016, the effect on WiiU sales , already catastrophic, will be enough to kill it, it will end with around 13M

Wanna avatar bet?

If Wii U sell more than 11.5 million by end of year according to VGChartz, i have one month of avatar control from you.

Same will happen with me if Wii U sell less than those numbers.

 

Accepct?



PS4 95m
XB1 80m
WiiU 25m



Miyamotoo said:
Rogerioandrade said:

I´m expecting a dim future for consoles.......

yeah, right. I really don´t think any console will hit 100 million this generation.

PS4 at end of this year will be around 30m, XboxOne probably around 18m so that means around 30m and around 18m only after two years on market, basically half of yours LT predictions.

Yeah.... I admit being too pessimistic about that. Let´s try again then....

PS4 - 75-80  million

XboxOne - 40-45 million

WiiU - 18-23 million

What makes me worry about the future of consoles is that overall consoles sales have been down every year since 2009 and casual gamers are gone forever from it. So I don´t expect any device to reach 100 million units sold. I expect lower sales next year and beyond, and similar numbers to the PS1-N64-SAT generation (about 140 million home consoles sold total).

Anyway, this is just a guess. Who knows what the future may have for videogames. Maybe VR will bring casuals back? Or an agressive price cut?



Aerys said:
Miyamotoo said:

Wii U at end of this year will be around 12m, and you think after that to life time will sell only 1m?


No,  Wii U at the end of this year will be barely ahead of 11M

 

Do i need to remind you last year with the 2 biggest Nintendo games out in the year, it only sold less than 2M between september and january and barely 400k between January and september? So it will be at 11,5M in the best scenario by the end of the year and with luck at 12M by september 2016, then it will reach 13M by the end of 2017, the NX will have been already released and the Wii U sales will be almost insignificant.

You are not without knowing NX has 100% chance to be announced in 2016, the effect on WiiU sales , already catastrophic, will be enough to kill it, it will end with around 13M

Wii U at 30. Jun was at 10m, in Q1 (1. april-30.jun.) Wii U sold 0.47m, for this quarter july-september we can expect similar sales 400k-500k, so before holiday quarter Wii U will be at around 10.5m, so you are expecting in holiday quarter Wii U will sell only 500k, even last two holiday quarters Wii U sold around 2m!?

Also Wii U sold 1.4m last year between january and september, not barely 400k.

Sorry but it seems you don't know what about you are talking.



Rogerioandrade said:
Miyamotoo said:

PS4 at end of this year will be around 30m, XboxOne probably around 18m so that means around 30m and around 18m only after two years on market, basically half of yours LT predictions.

Yeah.... I admit being too pessimistic about that. Let´s try again then....

PS4 - 75-80  million

XboxOne - 40-45 million

WiiU - 18-23 million

What makes me worry about the future of consoles is that overall consoles sales have been down every year since 2009 and casual gamers are gone forever from it. So I don´t expect any device to reach 100 million units sold. I expect lower sales next year and beyond, and similar numbers to the PS1-N64-SAT generation (about 140 million home consoles sold total).

Anyway, this is just a guess. Who knows what the future may have for videogames. Maybe VR will bring casuals back? Or an agressive price cut?

Wii is the first real casual consoles so maybe 90% of them are casuals gamers that never bough consoles before those casuals didn't bough Wii U this time.But Xbox and Playstation is different most of their owner are not casuals gamers,most core gamers never stop buying console

IF you add ps3 to xbox360 number it would be close to ps2 and xb total 171m vs 182m it should be the same with XB1 and Ps4,this gen will have similar numbers to  the 6th gen



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m