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Forums - Gaming Discussion - RubberWhistleHistle: PS4 to sell 80M, Wii U to sell 55M, X1 to sell 38.7M lifetime

UltimateGamer1982 said:
I predict this for ps4.

North America: 30-38 million
Europe: 44-46 million
Asia: 15-22 million
ROW: 20 million


Step #1. PS4 is NOT ps3. It's way more popular.

Step #2. PS3 sold approximately 25 ish million in the US. PS4 will sell at least a good 10 million more than that, if not more, thanks to COD marketing, among other big partnerships this gen.

Step #3. Sony is treating Asia as it's next big territory as evidenced at last week's tgs. Many big games are being translated and sold in various Asian countries this time Sony announced such as China, Korea, and others.

This didn't happen last gen.


So that 80 million number in my opinion is a huge insult to ps4.

I agree with you, BUT !   there is more mobile/tablet for gaming, i know my mums who played a little on my ps2-ps3, now play on her galaxie S4 and not need more, you can see this with japan who more advanced on mobile market, a other note, in europe, older ppl usually move from console to PC gaming, like me in ps2 era i was playing like 90% console 10% pc, now its more like 80% pc and 20% console.. and some of my friend have moved to 100% PC.

A other note, since microsoft lose, they probably launch Xbox2 earlier if they stay in console market, so forcing sony to launch too early and they will lose ps4 sale.

At end i think this will hit around 85-100m at max.



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RubberWhistleHistle said:
DerNebel said:
Worse than Pachters prediction

Why don't you try to analyze the market. It's not as easy as it might seem. 

It's hard because usually math is involved. That's probably why you skipped that part in your analysis.



If you demand respect or gratitude for your volunteer work, you're doing volunteering wrong.

Saeko said:
UltimateGamer1982 said:
I predict this for ps4.

North America: 30-38 million
Europe: 44-46 million
Asia: 15-22 million
ROW: 20 million


Step #1. PS4 is NOT ps3. It's way more popular.

Step #2. PS3 sold approximately 25 ish million in the US. PS4 will sell at least a good 10 million more than that, if not more, thanks to COD marketing, among other big partnerships this gen.

Step #3. Sony is treating Asia as it's next big territory as evidenced at last week's tgs. Many big games are being translated and sold in various Asian countries this time Sony announced such as China, Korea, and others.

This didn't happen last gen.


So that 80 million number in my opinion is a huge insult to ps4.

I agree with you, BUT !   there is more mobile/tablet for gaming, i know my mums who played a little on my ps2-ps3, now play on her galaxie S4 and not need more, you can see this with japan who more advanced on mobile market, a other note, in europe, older ppl usually move from console to PC gaming, like me in ps2 era i was playing like 90% console 10% pc, now its more like 80% pc and 20% console.. and some of my friend have moved to 100% PC.

A other note, since microsoft lose, they probably launch Xbox2 earlier if they stay in console market, so forcing sony to launch too earler and they will lose ps4 sale.

At end i think this will hit around 85-100m at max.


Except Xbox is a non factor in Asia so even if that did happen, Sony can still continue selling ps4 for several years, not to mention the ps4 insides are considerably less expensive than ps3's which means ps4 will reach a much lower price much quicker, therefore more sales. I'm not saying it'll surpass ps2, but it'll definitely outsell ps3's Ltd sales. 



vivster said:
RubberWhistleHistle said:

Why don't you try to analyze the market. It's not as easy as it might seem. 

It's hard because usually math is involved. That's probably why you skipped that part in your analysis.

I used math among other things. I explained that in a previous comment to another user.



55M Wii U. LOL

Its off the market in less than 2 years it will not even hit 15M life time sales before its done.



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Great thread and analysis.



The only way the Wii U could come even remotely close to selling 55 million units is if it would stay in the market for another 20 years and there is a zero percent chance of that happening. It will more then likely be on the market another two years and will be lucky if it can sell over 15 million units.



This forum is dumb.

You're making fun of something you've taken out of context. Not that the posters here will pick up on that.



Xenostar said:
55M Wii U. LOL

Its off the market in less than 2 years it will not even hit 15M life time sales before its done.

Agreed.



Wii u wont even hit 20m