Insidb said: You are not wrong about his current ascent; the media coverage has made that obious, but we must contenxtualize this phenomenon. This ascent is very early in the primaries and very far away from the general election. He is leading GOP candidates, but there are many miles to go and much dirt to dig and throw. Keep in mind that those are the very same demographics that baced Romney in a losing campaign, and he was far less offensive in his loss. The firsr debate, as I'm sure you noticed, has way too many candidates to produce any meaninful insign on any of them (We heard snippets on talking points.). As the candidates dwindle, they will become more aggressive and damaging. Fully expect Trump to get slammed like "corporate raider" Romney and have the middle class step out on him. With regards to SC, those polls are largely irrelevant; this is a bastion for the GOP: taking poll numbers from a Red State is akin to tracking Hillary in NY. I'm not going to snow you, because you seem to be a person who (rightfully) wants qualification for debate points. Here is an aggregate of all the major 2016 general election polls, and Clinton is leading all of them v. Trump (including Fox): http://www.270towin.com/2016-polls/2016-general-election-matchups/ |
As you have said, this is very early in the primaries and you need to look no further than the past three months to see the general trend. As I have stated before, Trump continues to ascend in the polls while Hillary Clinton continues to drop like the 2008 stock market. I feel it is more alarming that the leading democratic candidate is dropping so fast in the polls, with no signs of improving, in comparison to some hunch that Trump can't keep this success up for a couple more months and will likely falter. Since you provided me that link, then me and you both know what that poll looked like just two months ago....enough said.
Hillary Clinton is showing no signs of increase because her media coverage consists of her answering the email scandal or making offensive comments by comparing the republican candidates to terrorists. I feel that this comment is clearly over-the-top and far worse than anything that Trump has said. Another interesting point is that the media hasn't even started talking about the Clinton Foundation, which will only garner her more negativity and decrease the time for Hillary to talk about her policies. I have been watching the news on CNN, MSNBC, and FOX and I don't even know where she stands on anything. When asked about the alaskan pipeline, she said to vote for me first and then I will tell you. Meanwhile, people complain that Trump isn't giving specifics on his policies while Hillary Clinton is shying away from the media or roping them off like cattle. To this day, I still don't understand how someone can vote for a person that is currently being investigated by the FBI. Perhaps you could explain your reasoning or the mindset of other democratic voters.
I feel bad for the Democrats to be honest. They have Hillary Clinton who is being investigated by the FBI, Sanders who is a socialist, and Biden who captured less than 1% of the vote in 2008. These are your democratic candidates? I am so so sorry.
I wouldn't say that the SC poll is irrevalant at all. In fact, I would argue the complete opposite. New York, where Trump was born, is regarded as one of the top ten democratic states. Many people, including republican candidates like Bush, have accussed Trump of being a flip flopper since he used to be a democrat. So by capturing the majority vote despite being this supposed flip flopper speaks volumes in my eyes. The other interesting note is that he is pulling voters ouside of just the conservatives: the Tea Party, Evangelicals, hispanics (Nevada poll), and democrats as well.
If you don't want to consider South Carolina, then just look at how well Hillary did when she spoke in Ohio (swing state). She had about 2,500 people show up to hear her speak...