thismeintiel said: Probably not. A lot of Avatar's success came from 3D hype. It's barely even talked about by people in normal movie conversation, and is definitely never referred to as a classic. And it was already re-released in 2010, but only made $33M WW, much less than the Titanic re-release. This makes me question Cameron's decision to make sequels of it for pretty much the rest of his career. I think the 2nd one will probably make less than 1/2 as much as the 1st, unless they tap into some other hype. So, about $1B+. That's still good. Of course, Cameron is probably going to demand an even larger budget, so the return will definitely shrink. I think we'll get a 3 if 2 does make a billion. However, I doubt we'll get another one if the 3rd drops even further (I'm thinking around $600M WW.) Which means I doubt we'll see the promised 4. |
All three of the sequels are being made at the same time, similar to how Lord of the Rings was filmed. We will see all three movies released.
And I wouldn't underestimate Cameron if I were you. I find it unreasonable to expect that any of the sequels could match the success of the original, but Cameron is a damn fine director and he is able to create very popular and entertaining movies. Unless Avatar 2 is terrible (it won't be because, again, Cameron) all three will comfortably pass $1B worldwide.