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Forums - Sales Discussion - Ethomaz and the 900k per Month Sales of PS4 (Feb 2014 Prediction)

Early 2014 (mostly in Jan or Feb) I did some maths and reached an avg number of how many PS4 will be sold per month WW.

I said something like "PS4 will have an average of 900k consoles sold per month even in the slow months".

A lot of guys hated me for that and said I was crazy that the gaming machine will slow down the sales and it was impossible to mantain the currrent (early 2014) sales rate in the future... well for these PS4 success was fronloaded and it was a machine with no gamez.

Over a year late...

PS4 continue to sell avg. of 900k consoles per month and no sigh of slow down even without any price cut.

People changed the "no gamez" talk for the "I don't understand why it's selling so well".

 

Last three months PS4 sold average of 1m units per month... it is even increasing the sales rate.

 

900k per month is the baseline sales of PS4 for slow months... nothing will change that in near term but there is a huge possibility to that number grow up with a price cut.

 

What do you think? Are there anything that will make PS4 sell less than my prediction until it started to end the generation?



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Posts or it didn't happen.



If you demand respect or gratitude for your volunteer work, you're doing volunteering wrong.

vivster said:
Posts or it didn't happen.

Most users here remember that... so I don't need to post :D
That is the fun.



In shipments:

Q4 2013: 2.25m avg
Q1 2014: 1m avg
Q2 2014: 900k avg
Q3 2014: 1.1m avg
Q4 2014: 2.2m avg
Q1 2015: 800k avg
Q2 2015: 1m avg

Withouth Q1 2015, the PS4 has always ship with avg of 900k or more all quarter.



Ryng_Tolu said:
In shipments:

Q4 2013: 2.25m avg
Q1 2014: 1m avg
Q2 2014: 900k avg
Q3 2014: 1.1m avg
Q4 2014: 2.2m avg
Q1 2015: 800k avg
Q2 2015: 1m avg

Withouth Q1 2015, the PS4 has always ship with avg of 900k or more all quarter.

I think we're done here.



If you demand respect or gratitude for your volunteer work, you're doing volunteering wrong.

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People who said it was frontloaded were simply not thinking. When has a Sony home console ever gone down after the first year? They always peak later than that.



I am Iron Man

Ryng_Tolu said:
In shipments:

Q4 2013: 2.25m avg
Q1 2014: 1m avg
Q2 2014: 900k avg
Q3 2014: 1.1m avg
Q4 2014: 2.2m avg
Q1 2015: 800k avg
Q2 2015: 1m avg

Withouth Q1 2015, the PS4 has always ship with avg of 900k or more all quarter.

If these are right then this dude is way off.  A quarter is 3 months o.o 



vivster said:
Ryng_Tolu said:
In shipments:

Q4 2013: 2.25m avg
Q1 2014: 1m avg
Q2 2014: 900k avg
Q3 2014: 1.1m avg
Q4 2014: 2.2m avg
Q1 2015: 800k avg
Q2 2015: 1m avg

Withouth Q1 2015, the PS4 has always ship with avg of 900k or more all quarter.

I think we're done here.


Shipments aren't sales ;) if they overshipped in Q4 2014 it's feasible that they'd hold back in Q1. The fact that shipments in Q2 rose over Q1 this year unlike last year suggests that there was an overshipment in Q4.

Also, pretty sure the prediction was across all months, the other shipments MORE than compensate for 1 quarter of 100k below the average.



RIP Dad 25/11/51 - 13/12/13. You will be missed but never forgotten.

vivster said:
Ryng_Tolu said:
In shipments:

Q4 2013: 2.25m avg
Q1 2014: 1m avg
Q2 2014: 900k avg
Q3 2014: 1.1m avg
Q4 2014: 2.2m avg
Q1 2015: 800k avg
Q2 2015: 1m avg

Withouth Q1 2015, the PS4 has always ship with avg of 900k or more all quarter.

I think we're done here.



Sharpryno said:
Ryng_Tolu said:
In shipments:

Q4 2013: 2.25m avg
Q1 2014: 1m avg
Q2 2014: 900k avg
Q3 2014: 1.1m avg
Q4 2014: 2.2m avg
Q1 2015: 800k avg
Q2 2015: 1m avg

Withouth Q1 2015, the PS4 has always ship with avg of 900k or more all quarter.

If these are right then this dude is way off.  A quarter is 3 months o.o 

This is the AVAREGE of the shipments. :P

Q4 2013: 2.25m avg --------> 4.5m ( 2 month, Nov and Dec )
Q1 2014: 1m avg --------> 3m
Q2 2014: 900k avg ------> 2.7m
Q3 2014: 1.1m avg ------> 3.3m
Q4 2014: 2.2m avg ------> 6.5m
Q1 2015: 800k avg ------> 2.4m
Q2 2015: 1m avg --------> 3m