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Forums - Sales Discussion - Ethomaz's Japan Sales Trending Prediction For 2015 (373,286 For PS4 1.5m)

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Last weeks 2014 PS4 sales

68.041
30.951
33.150
42.216

Last weeks 2014 Wii U sales

27.334
38.314
43.950
30.031



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ethomaz said:

More 4 weeks to end the year... can my early estimates become true?

Updated.

Wii U (Up YoY)

2014: 508.552
2015: 603.578 (+19%)

PS4 (Up YoY)

2014: 838.525
2015: 1.126.714 (+34%)

 

PS4 will reach 1.5m?
WiiU will staty below 750k?


U don't think wiiu can avg 39k per week? 



tbone51 said:

U don't think wiiu can avg 39k per week? 

I mistook the numbers of weeks... sorry... it is 3 weeks to ends 2015.

Wii U won't reach 750k in my opinion.
PS4 will do around 1.3m... < 200k below my prediction.



ethomaz said:
tbone51 said:

U don't think wiiu can avg 39k per week? 

I mistook the numbers of weeks... sorry... it is 3 weeks to ends 2015.

Wii U won't reach 750k in my opinion.
PS4 will do around 1.3m... < 200k below my prediction.


There are 4 weeks left. This year has 53 weeks. Ps4 should do just over 1.3 and WiiU will hit 750k possibly 800k if it has a huge Christmas week



tbone51 said:

There are 4 weeks left. This year has 53 weeks. Ps4 should do just over 1.3 and WiiU will hit 750k possibly 800k if it has a huge Christmas week

Are you sure this year we will have Week 53? So it changes a bit the things.

I don't believe Wii U will have this huge Christimas but if it did then great... I still believe in my 750k prediction.

Now PS4 I just lost the hopes... I believe one week it will sell close to 100k but the others won't make the gap to 370k even with this extra week... it will be below 1.5m by 100-200k.



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ethomaz said:
tbone51 said:

There are 4 weeks left. This year has 53 weeks. Ps4 should do just over 1.3 and WiiU will hit 750k possibly 800k if it has a huge Christmas week

Are you sure this year we will have Week 53? So it changes a bit the things.

I don't believe Wii U will have this huge Christimas but if it did then great... I still believe in my 750k prediction.

Now PS4 I just lost the hopes... I believe one week it will sell close to 100k but the others won't make the gap to 370k even with this extra week... it will be below 1.5m by 100-200k.


Yes this year is 53 weeks.  your predictions seem decent.  I believe you'll be a little under for the Wii U and a little over for the ps4. 

 

But that last week #53 ps4 should sell good.  And 2 weeks from now it has fallout 4. 

 

So weeks #51 #52 #53 should move a lot of ps4's. 

 

I'm sure the Wii U will be good too. 



So it is 53 weeks... maybe I will be more close to PS4 and Wii U will be over 750k.



ethomaz said:

More 4 3 weeks to end the year... can my early estimates become true?

Updated.

Wii U (Up YoY)

2014: 508.552
2015: 603.578 (+19%)

PS4 (Up YoY)

2014: 838.525
2015: 1.126.714 (+34%)

 

PS4 will reach 1.5m?
WiiU will staty below 750k?

Your predictions weren't bad, close enough.

The only "problem" from the beginning was to call conservative prediction the PS4's one. That was lol

Just skipping this wording, both predictions were accurate enough.



Media Create Annual Archive (Spanish version)

http://zonaforo.meristation.com/topic/2246651/

If ps4 increases by 30% next year again it can do about 1.7m for the year leaving it at around 4m LTD. Not too shabby.



Any updates to the thread?