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Forums - Microsoft Discussion - Is the XB1 at 11 million sold by end of 2014?

 

???

Yes, XB1 is most likely a... 38 28.79%
 
No, but is probabily close. 26 19.70%
 
Absolutely NO, XB1 is waaay overtracked. 68 51.52%
 
Total:132

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Last edited by OttoniBastos - on 24 July 2020

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So consensus seems to be Xbox one is like 500k overtracked atleast? in this thread.



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Last edited by OttoniBastos - on 24 July 2020

Puppyroach said:
It is more than likely that X1 was at around 12mn by Dec 31st, since it passed 10mn in October and had a massive December. It sucks that MS won't release numbers, they should just accept another generation as number 2, which is far from bad.


it didn't pass 10 million in october, it was announced at the beginning of november that it will shortly pass 10m consoles and that was shipped.



BreedinBull said:

Another gen at 2? Oooh, you're one of those individuals that ignore numbers and put 360 above ps3 last gen.


They where second in gen 6... Or maybe he ignores Nintendo in sales discussion for home consoles.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

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Well it seems to be closer to 10 than to 11M.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Too bad there is no way to really know that



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

Angelv577 said:
Puppyroach said:
It is more than likely that X1 was at around 12mn by Dec 31st, since it passed 10mn in October and had a massive December. It sucks that MS won't release numbers, they should just accept another generation as number 2, which is far from bad.


it didn't pass 10 million in october, it was announced at the beginning of november that it will shortly pass 10m consoles and that was shipped.

Sorry, I meant November and I am talking about shipped. It is atleast at around 11.5mn by dec 31st.



It is kind of hard to figure out how much X1 has shipped, but my reasoning is this:

We know the combined shipments for X1+X360, and separate shipments for the first two quarters when they were on the market. We can also safely assume that X1´s part of total shipments will increase as time goes by, but I have been a bit moderate with the relative growth. Here are my approximations on X1´s part of total shipments based of the first to quarters that we know of. Considering X1 had a very succesful december, I believe 360 fell even more, but I have calculated with a 70:30 ratio for simplicity. this would put X1 shipments at 12mn by dec31st.

    X1 XBOX360 Total %X1
Q114 Jul-Sep13 0.0 1.2 1.2 0%
Q214 Oct-Dec13 3.9 3.5 7.4 53%
Q314 Jan-Mar14 1.2 0.8 2 60%
Q414 Apr-Jun14 0.7 0.4 1.1 63%
           
Q115 Jul-Sep14 1.6 0.8 2.4 67%
Q215 Oct-Dec14 4.6 2.0 6.6 70%
Q315 Jan-Mar15 1.2 0.4 1.6 73%

It is therefore pretty safe to assume it stand at atleast 11mn sold by Dec31st.



Puppyroach said:

It is kind of hard to figure out how much X1 has shipped, but my reasoning is this:

We know the combined shipments for X1+X360, and separate shipments for the first two quarters when they were on the market. We can also safely assume that X1´s part of total shipments will increase as time goes by, but I have been a bit moderate with the relative growth. Here are my approximations on X1´s part of total shipments based of the first to quarters that we know of. Considering X1 had a very succesful december, I believe 360 fell even more, but I have calculated with a 70:30 ratio for simplicity. this would put X1 shipments at 12mn by dec31st.

    X1 XBOX360 Total %X1
Q114 Jul-Sep13 0.0 1.2 1.2 0%
Q214 Oct-Dec13 3.9 3.5 7.4 53%
Q314 Jan-Mar14 1.2 0.8 2 60%
Q414 Apr-Jun14 0.7 0.4 1.1 63%
           
Q115 Jul-Sep14 1.6 0.8 2.4 67%
Q215 Oct-Dec14 4.6 2.0 6.6 70%
Q315 Jan-Mar15 1.2 0.4 1.6 73%

It is therefore pretty safe to assume it stand at atleast 11mn sold by Dec31st.


This is called making things up. 

 

Therefore it's not safe to assume anything.