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If History Repeats Itself, The NX May Sell Less Than The WII U!

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Mr.Playstation said:

It's just the image, the games which were being pushed early on and so on. To me anyways it's in a  middle stage were it's becoming more a traditional console but it still hasn't broken out of the unconventional console mold. That's my take.

 

So let's say that we agreed that the WII U is a conventional console. How does that lead us to trying to predict the future popularity of the NX?

The games that were pushed early on were third party multiplatform games. It only dawned on Nintendo that they should announce their own games when they made their emergency Nintendo Direct in January 2013.

The Wii U wasn't the only console that you put in the wrong category. The NES was an unconventional console.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

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NX doom confirmed.



Mnementh said:
Mr.Playstation said:

 




Thanks for that . Unfortunately this thread is here to discuss the NX's future based on past data and not the PS5's future based on past data. Feel free to make a thread of your own though, I'll gladly chime in with my own on-topic opinion.



We all know Sony domination is a real thing and there is nothing Microsoft or Nintendo can do about it....

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RolStoppable said:
Mr.Playstation said:

It's just the image, the games which were being pushed early on and so on. To me anyways it's in a  middle stage were it's becoming more a traditional console but it still hasn't broken out of the unconventional console mold. That's my take.

 

So let's say that we agreed that the WII U is a conventional console. How does that lead us to trying to predict the future popularity of the NX?

The games that were pushed early on were third party multiplatform games. It only dawned on Nintendo that they should announce their own games when they made their emergency Nintendo Direct in January 2013.

The Wii U wasn't the only console that you put in the wrong category. The NES was an unconventional console.

It's just that the game's they pushed during the early life cycle of the WII U had a more unconventional style to them. You didn't see them mass-advertising COD or any game that is considered truly conventional but they usually advertised third party games which made a lot of use of the gamepad and there own games such as NintendoLand which are far from conventional.

Now let's say that we also agree that the Nes was an unconventional console. How does that lead us to predicting the possible future popularity of the NX.



We all know Sony domination is a real thing and there is nothing Microsoft or Nintendo can do about it....

Send a Friend Request On PSN :P

That would be quite an accomplishment.



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Mr.Playstation said:

It's just that the game's they pushed during the early life cycle of the WII U had a more unconventional style to them. You didn't see them mass-advertising COD or any game that is considered truly conventional but they usually advertised third party games which made a lot of use of the gamepad and there own games such as NintendoLand which are far from conventional.

Now let's say that we also agree that the Nes was an unconventional console. How does that lead us to predicting the possible future popularity of the NX.

With the NES being an unconventional console, the Wii ceases to be an outlier. A pattern emerges where Nintendo sees decline when they adopt console wars mentality, but sees success when their primary motivation isn't to beat someone else at their game. The same pattern also holds true for Nintendo handhelds.

Taking the above into consideration, if NX was going to be a console that is about doing the same things that Sony and Microsoft do, we could quite safely predict another decline. However, the few things that are known about NX point into a different direction. Offering a brandnew concept suggests an unconventional approach, so the premise of your thread is turned on its head. If history repeats itself, NX will sell more than Wii U.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

snes, n64, and cube all felt the pressure of increased competition. wii u flopped cuz of a flawed hardware concept. you really can't extrapolate anything from that.



Don't say that again eventos as a joke, mintiendo learns from its mistakes and the situación should change



jcalamil said:
Don't say that again eventos as a joke, mintiendo learns from its mistakes and the situación should change

Creo que tienes el autocorrector activado XD.



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Mr playstation...,it's not right to use the LT numbers of previous Nintendo home console and the LTD number of wii u as of march 31 2015 for the comparison/number of the drop from gen to gen,this make wrong impressions,wii u still sells...
Seriously,change it,suppose where wii u can end,put a range,like 15m-18m or mention that the numbers you put is as of March 31th 2015...

As for the question,Nintendo must have learnt from its mistakes,plus it might follow a revolutionary route that be sure will make NX to be above Nes at least,you get what I'm implying if it's only something traditional,in my opinion,they have to control the extra costs in order to be doing price drops freely,without making any loss,that alone can definitely make the successor to sell more than wii u,which isn't a hard feat to be honest!
USA is the key,as wii u in Europe/Japan/ROW,is not very far from GC,the huge gap in the USA with gc is due to the big price cuts of gc in 2002 and 2003 which had a great effect although gc didn't end up with huge  numbers but it was just two million behind from the second and a great money maker,if it hadn't gotten them things would be worse,ps2 was a sweeper the price situation is a big factor in the USA,history tells!

There are many people who won't buy wii u,because for what it provides,it's expensive,it hasn't get any price drop and might won't ever get at least one!Consequently,that will be one of the many drawbacks of wii u,for me catalytic!
As for the decline,it's mainly success/appearance of new competitors or market shrinkage/remaining room size for growth more than just a decline!I mean that decline doesn't mean only that people jump to another ship,but that they also abandon the ship in general...