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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Will Rise of the Tomb Raider be a commercial flop this fall?

teigaga said:

Relative to its potential, kinda.

I see it doing like 1.2m this year on X1. 2m lifetime on the platform

Had it been PS4 exclusive this holiday it would have done 4m before years end. 6m-7m lifetime.


Honestly I think it would have been overshadowed on the PS4. This is not about the XB1 versus PS4. The point I am making in this thread is TR is just not a big enough IP to start up against all those games. The games I listed are not just other big games. We are talking about THE biggest IPs you can think of.



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It's looking like it. It'll have an even harder time with the PS4 now with Uncharted 4 coming.



it should sell at least 1m on xbox/360. if ~$30 million + whatever ms paid isn't enough to at least break even SE is doing it wrong.

once it releases on ps4/pc it should be basically all profit from there.



then again SE said they were disappointed with TRs sales after like 4 million so clearly SE is doing it wrong.



I don't think it will flop. Will probably do 1m this year alone on XB1, 2m LT. When it's released later on PC/PS4 I can see it doing another 2-3m (PS4+PC) LT.



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I really hope not. The reboot was excellent and really fun to play.

Unfortunately it is stacked up against some stiff competition, but what's holding it back the most is the timed exclusivity on Xbox One. Xbox one has a strong line up of exclusives this holiday + the general big third party multiplat games will put Tomb Raider in a tough position. When it finally releases on the PS4 will probably be early 2016 which means it will go up against Uncharted 4 sooooo that probably wont end up well for TR either.

Hope it does well enough to continue the series, but poor enough on the One so it will no longer be inclined to support this timed exclusivity.



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it won't be a flop, nut I don't think it'll sell that much. maybe 1-1.5 millions???



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Yeah, its going to flop hard. Not because of its exclusivity. But, for one thing and one thing only, Fallout 4 comes out on the same day.



probably but PS4 version could make a difference



All I know is Rise of the Tomb Raider coupled with Halo 5 will raise Xbox One sales up higher than last year during fourth quarter.



On it's own, not very well. But I'm sure it will be bundled in black Friday or in December, so it will look a lot better.



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