TR wont sell a lot on xbox, easy win for uncharted IMO.

Uncharted: Nathan Drake Collection > The Rise of the Tomb Raider

A couple of things here...

1. The bold part is pretty much asking if TR will win this holiday, or if TR will win this holiday...

2. I think there is a good chance th NDC outsells TR this holiday. Partly because it's going to be out earlier so it'll have more time to sell, and partly because it's going to be the lead up to Uncharted 4.

I'd say Uncharted, I expect it to feature prominently in bundles this holiday

Thanks for the correction and good point. Excellent point actually. 

I just realized that Sony is trying to win October.   If Sony manages to take October and the top selling SKU away from Halo (while still unlikely),  That would be a devestating blow to Microsoft's monthly PR.

With COD and Battlefront coming in November there is no chance in hell that Halo gets top spot unless it takes October.  And Sony has like three weeks to make something happen (its gonna need all the help it can get).  

I still feel like something is missing from the puzzle though.  And I think its a price drop for the PS4.

Looking at what they did with TLOU... I think you may be right.

Perhaps PS4 + Uncharted Collection + Battlefront for $350.

That would be pretty good for Black Friday.

Halo will not win October NPD, but not because of Uncharted. Both Rainbow Six and Assassin's Creed release then, and being multiplats with two and one week more to sell, they should top the charts.

And since NPD doesn't give out individual SKU rankings, I doubt that Halo can make up the difference in less time.

Tomb Raider.

Tomb Raider as its on the 360 as well.

I think though Uncharted might have a chanceif it was only up against XBOs numbers