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Prediction: Splatoon 1 Million Worldwide by end of May 2015

Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: Splatoon 1 Million Worldwide by end of May 2015

amp316 said:
But your predictions used to be accurate many, many years ago.

Are you becoming a joke thread writer now?


This is no joke, amp316.
I am sincere with every prediction I make.

I say Splatoon will sell 1 million worldwide—digital & physical sales combined—in its first few opening days before June 1, 2015.

I saw that Nintendo was confident enough to pin the Wii U's entire summer around this game when they showed that Splatoon Direct.
I KNEW as soon Splatoon was revealed LAST year at E3 2014 that this game HAD to come out before the following summer.
It's the perfect summertime game.
And lo & behold that's exactly what they did when they announced that May 29th release date at the April 1st Nintendo Direct.

Once I saw the Splatoon Direct & how they said they would roll out features piece by piece in free updates with a major one in August, I said Nintendo believes in this game.
They will launch in May right before the summer starts & then drop the mega-update in August towards the end of summer.

Not only did they put the release date in virtually the same spot as Mario Kart 8 (May 30th), they show that the game is strong enough to keep up excitement all summer long until they get to the August update.

Mario Kart 8 carried the summer for Wii U in 2014 & Nintendo believes Splatoon will carry Wii U's summer in 2015.
Reggie Fils-Aimé said long ago that Nintendo wants Splatoon to be the "Mario Kart of Shooters".

Mario Kart is super established as a franchise. It's a bankable title to pin your console on.
Splatoon is a brand new franchise but Nintendo sees that game as just as bankable.

And when I saw that fan art sprung up almost overnight with Splatoon after its E3 2014 reveal...
...When I saw that GIF of Splatoon developers backstage at E3 2014 happily running around in Inkling hats with Miyamoto looking on in the distance...
...When I saw how Masahiro Anbe, the creator of Squid Girl, was inspired to put his Squid Girl side by side with the Splatoon squid girls...
...I knew I was seeing something special.

The Splatoon Direct only underlined what I had already suspected.
The Splatoon Global Testfire etched it in stone.

That's why I made my prediction.
The game is just that damn good & Nintendo knows it can pin Wii U's summer on this title alone & sell.
Nintendo knows this is their next MONSTER HIT FRANCHISE.
And they believe it is JUST as bankable as Mario Kart is.

I put a number to the intuitions I had & that number came out to be 1 million.
Now I'm just waiting on confirmation.
John Lucas

P.S.: Yes amp316 some things are just a hit right out of the gate. In 1999 we saw such a thing with a game called Super Smash Bros.



Words from the Official VGChartz Idiot

WE ARE THE NATION...OF DOMINATION!

 

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No, just no...

20,000 / 27,000 in UK confirmed. :P

980,000 / 973,000 to go... xD

Actual prediction of the year: Super Smash Bros Ultimate will sell in 12 million

johnlucas said:
amp316 said:
But your predictions used to be accurate many, many years ago.

Are you becoming a joke thread writer now?

Mario Kart 8 carried the summer for Wii U in 2014

Did... you see WiiU sales last summer?



Sigs are dumb. And so are you!

Double post.



Actual prediction of the year: Super Smash Bros Ultimate will sell in 12 million

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A bold prediction... But no. It'll need at least 2 weeks to make a million sold, digital+retail.

so a bit over 900k retail?
not a chance. You should've looked at other WiiU games before you made that statement.

Ryng_Tolu said:
20,000 / 27,000 in UK confirmed. :P

980,000 / 973,000 to go... xD


So how did it get to #2 on a multi-platform chart like this?

http://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2015-06-01-wii-u-exclusive-splatoon-is-consoles-fastest-selling-new-ip

Charts started going multi-platform to favor 3rd party games after Wii's & DS's dominance last generation.
Hard to have good headlines when Wii Play sells in the Top 10 month after month, year after year.
Everybody should know that these sales charts also function as a form of advertising.
They exist to tell the general public "Look how successful this is! You should join in too!"
It was getting embarrassing seeing old Nintendo games outdo expected blockbusters so policies began to favor a multi-platform format.

So when you see a Nintendo game, which will ALWAYS be single-platform by nature, show up in the Top 10 or even better show up at the TOP of that Top 10...
...you KNOW the game did good.

I would love to know the breakdown on single-platform format.
I wouldn't be surprised if Splatoon showed up at #1 in that format.
How much did each version of The Witcher 3 sell individually I'm wondering?

Splatoon has 4 days to make that worldwide million. May 28th, May 29th, May 30th, May 31st.
I have no doubt that it can do it.
John Lucas

P.S.: Yes I said May 28th. Remember the game came out on May 28th in Japan.



Words from the Official VGChartz Idiot

WE ARE THE NATION...OF DOMINATION!

 

John Lucas, the chart situation of the USA doesn't apply to the UK. It has been normal practice to post both, single format and multiformat charts, since forever. Splatoon is #3, behind The Witcher 3 (PS4) and The Witcher 3 (Xbox One).

Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

RolStoppable said:
John Lucas, the chart situation of the USA doesn't apply to the UK. It has been normal practice to post both, single format and multiformat charts, since forever. Splatoon is #3, behind The Witcher 3 (PS4) and The Witcher 3 (Xbox One).

 


So OK cool. I didn't know they did both.
Still a good sign because The Witcher 3 was a big game but already an established franchise.
For newcomer Splatoon to hit this big out of the gate is good news.

Nintendo has succeeded in creating their next monster franchise.
I knew it as soon as I saw all the inspired fan art of those Inkling characters.

I DEFINITELY know it now after Kid Now Squid Now, Splat-at-at-at-at-at-at-at-at-at-Splatoon, & the word FRESH.
John Lucas



Words from the Official VGChartz Idiot

WE ARE THE NATION...OF DOMINATION!