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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Prediction: Splatoon will outsell Titanfall (XBO version)

 

Which game will sell more lifetime?

Splatoon (WU) 247 56.91%
 
Titanfall (XBO) 187 43.09%
 
Total:434
Ryng on 28 May 2015
binary solo said:
Wii U doesn't have the install base. I think 2 million would be a brilliant effort for Splatoon and it can definitely make that level of sales. But 2.5 million is probably a bridge too far. Withe re views coming in for Splatoon a metacritic of ~82 says great game with good sales for the install base it's selling to, but it's not the next big thing that a 90+ metascore would be suggesting.

Mario Kart 8 have sold +5m in a console with under 10m istall base. 3DW have sold more than 4m. Smash nearly 4m, and have the 3DS version...

"Splatoon is not Mario Kart 8 / Smash / 3DW " of course, but is just some example of how well can sell some games on WU, even with the istall base.



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Angelv577 on 28 May 2015

My prediction is 700k-1k so I disagree but even if I am wrong, I doubt it will reach titanfall numbers.



b00moscone on 28 May 2015

I don't think it will but, surprise me, Splatoon.



 

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Nogamez on 28 May 2015

Naah I see selling 1million Ltd. I don't know how we will ever know though cost vgchartz never updates anymore.

We could get figures off NPD and japan but may struggle on European numbers.

Mario party 10 was massively undertracked on here and I still have no idea what its sitting at so far



Ryng on 28 May 2015
Angelv577 said:

My prediction is 700k-1k so I disagree but even if I am wrong, I doubt it will reach titanfall numbers.

At this point 700,000 is seriusly low.

The game have 147 point on COMG... usually, 1 point = 1k pre order, so, seem that Splatoon have nearly 150,000 pre order just in Japanand first week Splatoon is gonna to sell probabily between 120k and 180k, depend of the COMG track...

Splatoon have more point than games like XenoBlade, Pikmin 3, Mario 3DWorld, and other, the only games on WU that did better was Mario Bros U, Mario Kart 8, and Smash Bros.

After those games, Splatoon is the 4th game with better point on COMG. So, is gonna to be very huge in Japan first week.

At 90% the games on WU sell more in the US than in Japan, so, in the US can't be so bad, and in Europe too...

700,000 ONLY FIRST WEEK is possible IMO, i doubt will happen, but is not impossible.

I predict around 500,000 first week... any way yes, i know that the Titanfall numbers are huge, that's why i write "bold" in the title.



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teigaga on 28 May 2015
JNK said:
very likely. Splatoon will sell over a big period of time (like mario kart is doing). there are several reasons for this.

-console bundle
-almost no competition (in terms of other games)

Nobody will get titanfall today on xbox one because there are like 10 other shooters already out. Gamers mostly want to have the most actual game. Nobody cares much about fifa 14 if fifa 15 is out.

Splatoon on the other hand wont have much competition. If COD wont return to the wii u, i think we wont see any other shooter after splatoon on wii u at all.


Thats all nice and dandy but how many Nintendo titles not featuring Mario have sold 1.5m let alone 3m?

Also this is Nintendo's first online focused game, with almost non existent local MP and a short single player campign



kitler53 on 28 May 2015

no.

i don't expect w101 type sales but this isn't going to reach smash type sales either..



teigaga on 28 May 2015
Ryng_Tolu said:
binary solo said:
Wii U doesn't have the install base. I think 2 million would be a brilliant effort for Splatoon and it can definitely make that level of sales. But 2.5 million is probably a bridge too far. Withe re views coming in for Splatoon a metacritic of ~82 says great game with good sales for the install base it's selling to, but it's not the next big thing that a 90+ metascore would be suggesting.

Mario Kart 8 have sold +5m in a console with under 10m istall base. 3DW have sold more than 4m. Smash nearly 4m, and have the 3DS version...

"Splatoon is not Mario Kart 8 / Smash / 3DW " of course, but is just some example of how well can sell some games on WU, even with the istall base.

Exactly, the context is that a non Megatons don't sell 3m on hardware barely over 10m,  so you'd have to take the stance that Splatoon is next megaton comparable to Mario or Smash Bros (also featuring Mario and dozens of other nintendo Ips) otherwise userbase does come into question. 



Frogger on 28 May 2015

That definitely won't happen. Doubt it'll even reach 2m.



vivster on 28 May 2015

I'm still thinking doom.



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