So I decided I've complained enough about the current PS4 exclusive situation and am now moving to looking ahead. Below you will see the accumulated software sales of all PS console (not handheld) exclusives that made it into the top 100 of the yearly charts in the last years.
| 2009 | 7647937 |
| 2010 | 17967174 |
| 2011 | 14166969 |
| 2012 | 6338863 |
| 2013 | 13391190 |
| 2014 | 11152897 |
Why only the games that made it into the top 100? Because I'm way too lazy to go through the whole database checking out yearly sales of all PS console exclusives and adding them up, should anyone want to do that, then I'll gladly change the numbers. Other then that there's only one limitations to what I'm counting the game can not have appeared on a non-PS console in the counted year.
What I'm proposing, or rather maybe prematurely, predicting is that Sonys console exclusive software sales in 2016 are going to be higher than any of the years above and my reasons for that are as follows:
The following games are either already locked as 2016 releases or are pretty likely to come that year: UC4, SFV, R&C, GT7 and GGs' new IP.
Of those UC4, SFV and GT7 are guaranteed multimillion sellers. I think it is at this point more or less expected that UC4 will be the biggest in the series yet, so what we can we expect from it coming out in the spring? 5mil in 2016? 6m? At least 5m sounds pretty likely to me. Capcom is expecting SFV to sell(ship) 2m this fiscal year on PS4 and PC, that's only until the end of march, in my opinion the game can surely go up to 2m or more on PS4 alone until the end of the year (SFIV sold 3m on PS3+360 in its first year). And the first GT on the next generation is bound to shift a couple million units, though how much is really depending on its release date.
R&C and GGs game are harder to guess, but the first R&C game managed to sell over 3m units and the movie marketing tactic could potentially really help the game, I'm quite sure it'll pass the 1m mark at least. Same with Horizon, all I've heard about this game makes it sound as if Sony is really trying to back this project and make it something big, so I'd say no matter the outcome of the game a million should still be pretty likely.
Now for things that are less likely or that I'm just not too sure to say anything about: Bends game, Level 5s JRPG, Morpheus games including MMs game (I'm pretty sure it'll be a morpheus title at this point).
Regarding Bends game I must just say that I'm clueless when it comes to Sony Bend, having never played a single game by them, I'm really not sure if it'll come next year, though a lot of people seem to be expecting it. Anyway their Uncharted Vita game was well received and sold very well on Vita (the name helped obviously), so their PS4 game could also become a hit, who knows.
Level 5 has grown substantially in Japan in the last years and their last PS3 release also garnered a lot of love in the west, if they stick to their winning formula then they'll surely appear in the top 100 should they release next year, but there's always the chance of them producing a WKC type dud, which I natrually hope isn't going to happen.
Morpheus is kind of a dark horse, should it take of then the software that's Morpheus enabled is going to take of as well, at least some of that software should be PS console exclusive.
Finally there's games from this year having legs: UC Collection, No Man's Sky, maybe (hopefully) Bloodborne, maybe Persona 5
UC Collection should be pretty obvious I'd say.
NMS depends on if it'll get a retail release so it can be counted here and if it delivers on its promise, if it delivers it can become a sort of evergreen comparable to Minecraft.
Bloodborne will hopefully continue to sell due to pricecuts and editions containing the DLC
And Persona 5, kinda depends on its release, it could very well slip into 2016 (plz don't) even if maybe only in the west, should it, then I think it'll sell enough to make the top 100.
I'm pretty sure I forgot some stuff, so you guys can add things, but the gist of it is that I think 2016 will beat 2010 in PS homeconsole exclusive sales.
Thoughts?
inb4 everything will be delayed
