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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Splatoon Serving Crow A Little Early, Who's Joining For Dinner? (Aka Admiting Your Wrong)

Skullwaker said:

[WiiU] Mario Kart 8 - 259pt - 5/2014 - FW: 325,892

[WiiU] Super Smash Bros. Wii U - 251pt - 11/2014 - FW: 227,527

[WiiU] New Super Mario Bros U - 200pt - 12/2012 - FW: 163,528

 

[WIU] Splatoon - 5 days before release - 111pt - 5/2015

 

[WiiU] Monster Hunter 3 Ultimate. - 75pt - 12/2012 - FW: 106,388

[WIU] Pikmin 3 - 74pt - 7/2013 - FW: 92,720

[WiiU] Dragon Quest X v3 - 71pt - 4/2015 - FW: 98,323

[WiiU] Xenoblade Chronicles X - 69pt - 4/2015 - FW: 85,586 (COMG doesn't include bundles)

[WiiU] Super Mario 3D World - 66pt - 11/2013 - FW: 99,588

[WiiU] Dragon Quest X v2 - 59pt - 12/2013 - FW: 70,648

[WiiU] Nintendo Land - 54pt - 12/2012 - FW: 72,127

[WiiU] Hyrule Warriors - 50pt - 8/2014 - FW: 69,090

[WiiU] Fatal Frame V - 35pt - 9/2014 - FW: 27,505

[WiiU] Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze - 24pt - 2/2014 - FW: 35,717

[WiiU] Wii Party U - 21pt - 10/2013 - FW: 37,321 (COMG doesn't include bundles)

[WiiU] Bayonetta 2 - 20pt - 9/2014 - FW: 38,828

[WiiU] Kirby: Rainbow Curse - 20pt - 1/2015 - FW:  32,137

[WiiU] JUST DANCE Wii U - 16pt - 4/2014 - FW:  18,403

[WiiU] Dragon Quest X v1 - 15pt - 3/2013 - FW: 33,302 (COMG doesn't include bundles)

I just wanted to add onto tbone's post to enforce my point about ranges (which wasn't responded to for whatever reason).

Every game aside from FFV is above the 1p:1k ratio!!! Are these MC #s? Also i'll copy this later. Need to do a vita + 3ds one in the future!



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tbone51 said:
Every game aside from FFV is above the 1p:1k ratio!!! Are these MC #s? Also i'll copy this later. Need to do a vita + 3ds one in the future!

 

Yeah, it's from Media Create. I don't like to use Famitsu typically.



Official Tokyo Mirage Sessions #FE Thread

                                      

Yep, I admit that my first prediction was low. I'm expecting a 100K FW in Japan (minimum) and maybe 400K WW. But we'll see. It's hard to predict Splatoon without previous references!



Dontcha think you're doing this a bit early? You could end up eating the crow if sales are still not up to your expectations... O:



 

              

Dance my pretties!

The Official Art Thread      -      The Official Manga Thread      -      The Official Starbound Thread

Skullwaker said:

[WiiU] Mario Kart 8 - 259pt - 5/2014 - FW: 325,892

[WiiU] Super Smash Bros. Wii U - 251pt - 11/2014 - FW: 227,527

[WiiU] New Super Mario Bros U - 200pt - 12/2012 - FW: 163,528

 

[WIU] Splatoon - 5 days before release - 111pt - 5/2015

 

[WiiU] Monster Hunter 3 Ultimate. - 75pt - 12/2012 - FW: 106,388

[WIU] Pikmin 3 - 74pt - 7/2013 - FW: 92,720

[WiiU] Dragon Quest X v3 - 71pt - 4/2015 - FW: 98,323

[WiiU] Xenoblade Chronicles X - 69pt - 4/2015 - FW: 85,586 (COMG doesn't include bundles)

[WiiU] Super Mario 3D World - 66pt - 11/2013 - FW: 99,588

[WiiU] Dragon Quest X v2 - 59pt - 12/2013 - FW: 70,648

[WiiU] Nintendo Land - 54pt - 12/2012 - FW: 72,127

[WiiU] Hyrule Warriors - 50pt - 8/2014 - FW: 69,090

[WiiU] Fatal Frame V - 35pt - 9/2014 - FW: 27,505

[WiiU] Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze - 24pt - 2/2014 - FW: 35,717

[WiiU] Wii Party U - 21pt - 10/2013 - FW: 37,321 (COMG doesn't include bundles)

[WiiU] Bayonetta 2 - 20pt - 9/2014 - FW: 38,828

[WiiU] Kirby: Rainbow Curse - 20pt - 1/2015 - FW:  32,137

[WiiU] JUST DANCE Wii U - 16pt - 4/2014 - FW:  18,403

[WiiU] Dragon Quest X v1 - 15pt - 3/2013 - FW: 33,302 (COMG doesn't include bundles)

I just wanted to add onto tbone's post to enforce my point about ranges (which wasn't responded to for whatever reason).

 

What does the pt part actually mean?



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I thought it had potential, but I just didn't think they would put much faith into it. they have been hyping it crazily (which is great) but I thought there was an equal chance they would have hyped it like codename steam. It felt like that game got no hype considering it was a new IP from the creators of fire emblem.

There are many games that I feel nintendo just doesn't advertise enough... but splatoon is not one of them



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tbone51 said:

(Gaf Thread) http://m.neogaf.com/showpost.php?p=162650029&postcount=489

Lol, those NeoGaf comments, most of them predicted W101 level of sales. :)



If you had told me that a brand new IP from Nintendo wasn't being hotly anticipated, and expected to be a dismal failure in any sense, id have disagreed with you. Nintendo sold it so well as E3 - The game really was a headline grabber in the mainstream news. 

The whole concept worked out incredibly well, and the possibilities of the game grew exponentially (in a similar vein to how Animal Crossing expanded on itself). Without De Blob, Splatoon may not have existed, but Nintendo seems to have taken painting to a whole other level unseen in Blob, Epic Mickey, etc.



“When we make some new announcement and if there is no positive initial reaction from the market, I try to think of it as a good sign because that can be interpreted as people reacting to something groundbreaking. ...if the employees were always minding themselves to do whatever the market is requiring at any moment, and if they were always focusing on something we can sell right now for the short term, it would be very limiting. We are trying to think outside the box.” - Satoru Iwata - This is why corporate multinationals will never truly understand, or risk doing, what Nintendo does.

I don't quite see how this game has been underestimated yet.

I can't recall a single person thinking the gameplay would be bad, the first thing everyone said is that the game looks like fun. Content was what people were questioning and some didn't like the designs, although I do think that has grown on people.

Sales wise, most people expect this game to be somewhere between Xenoblade chronicles X and bigger Nintendo release. Unless they sell 1m in week one WW, or do 2m+ before years end, I don't think its far away from the average projection. I saw a few crazy people who thought it would literally sell W101 numbers, but thats literally been Nintendo's worst performing title on the Wii U since release. I think W101 simply highlights that we don't know whether Nintendo's audience will be excepting of a new IP.



Miyamotoo said:
tbone51 said:

(Gaf Thread) http://m.neogaf.com/showpost.php?p=162650029&postcount=489

Lol, those NeoGaf comments, most of them predicted W101 level of sales. :)

LMFAO at the guy predicting 200k globally lifetime. XD