vivster said:
PS4 domination in Japan by 2016. If this "being crazy successful" thingy continues it's gonna catch the Wii U in 2015 already. |
Your prediction should remain true, unless something crazy happens this holiday. If the PS4 averages 25k /week this year (up from 21k last year) then it will sell 25k * 52 = 1.3 million. If the Wii U averages 15k this year (down from 19k before this year) then it should sell 15k*52 = 780k. At the end of 2014 the PS4 sold 952,872 and the Wii U sold 2,134,786. That would put the PS4 at 952,872 + 1,300,000 = 2,252,872 PS4s and 2,914,786 Wii U's.
The heavy drops after so many releases in Japan during March show us that the PS4 can't sustain sales above 25k after said releases during a normal time of year and that its baseline is something like 15-17k. During the holidays I can see it selling 30-40k / week, but I can also see the WIi U selling 18-25k / week.