My Wii U lifetime prediction as for now, is +19,000,000... So i don't think will sell 20,000,000, but for me will close.

Any way, i expect a sales between 18,000,000 and 20,000,000, maybe better than 20,000,000, maybe worse than 18,000,000, depend.

But according to the comment of this site seem that there is no way for Wii U sell this numbers.

I see comment like "will be a miracle for Wii U break 20,000,000". I disagree. Will be lucky if will sell 20,000,000, but "a MIRACLE" seem seriusly too much, a miracle can be 25,000,000 / 30,000,000, but 20,000,000 is so hard?

Most people say "because Wii U is below GC..." Ok, but:

1) But Wii U can break 20,000,000 even withouth outsell GC!
GC sales are 21,740,000... with 20,000,000, Wii U will sell under GC.

2) GC was selling for 99$ in the same time... Wii U is still at 299$...
GC sales are dropped like a rock by 2004, because the price was already accessible by 2003, and the most people have bought a GC the first two year...
Wii U can still have many pricedrop in the next years, 299$ ------> 249$ ------> 199$ ------> 149$ ------> 99$ ecc, so, the sales is not gonna to dropped hardly like GC...

3) As i say, GC peak was in the second year.
Wii U can of course break the peak this year, in 2015... we will see...
Last year was Mario Kart, but after that, nothing. DK was nothing. Hyrule Warriors was nothing. Bayonetta was nothing. Smash Bros was nothing. yes, Smash Bros was nothing. The reason is easy: 3DS released (before Wii U), and no bundle. 3DS was a Smash limited bundle... Smash have help 3DS more than Wii U... So, is ridiculus say "i don't see a sistem seller like Mario Kart and Smash Bros " because Smash Bros was NOT a sistem seller! Damn, XenoBlade X in Japan is gonna to sell more Wii U than Smash Bros, even if Smash Bros is coming in December... A pricedrop can be easy much bigger than Smash.

4) Wii is released 5 year after GC released (4 in Europe)... if the new Nintendo home will released after 6 years Wii U launch, Wii U can have a intere year of advantage than GC, and this will of course make the difference. The "NX" actually is nothing... can be all, most likely will be the new Portable. i don't see "4DS" released in 2016 honestly... 3DS is still selling massive, and is massive up compared to last year Globally, in US, in Europe, and only 10% down in JP. So, i think is more likely a new portable in 2017, and the new home in 2018...

Now, a possible scenario for the Wii U sales (not my prediction):

2015: 4,000,000
2016: 3,500,000
2017: 2,500,000
2018: 1,200,000
2019: 600,000
2020: 200,000
TOT: 21,000,000

That is not my prediction, but of course is a possible scenario about Wii U sales...

Any way, do you think that Wii U have absolutely 0 chance for sell 20,000,000? vote in the poll.

Also please, make a sales Year on year for the Wii U sales, will be even more easy for know your opinion...

NX was already teased, Wii U will be dead in 1-2 years imo.
I agree with you, 20M isn't a miracle for Wii U but it is very very hard to reach. I guess 16-18M lifetime for Wii U.

2015 - 2.2 mill
2016 - 1.8 mill
2017 - 1.3 mill
2018 - 800k
2019 - 200k

So... 16 million ish.

And I'm a hard core Nintendo fan & developer...  I just feel Nintendo dropped the ball with their marketing and naming of the system this time around.  Wii worked, because everyone wanted to try these new motion controls... now motion controls are no longer 'interesting' and people want to take advantage of their amazing HD TV's... Wii U's graphics are fantastic, but people want even more now.

Zelda won't be a big a system seller as people think in 2016....  think Skyward Sword... Major Zelda title, with a HUGE base of over 100 million consoles.... sold only 3.8 million. (4% buy rate)  vs Windwaker for the Gamecube...  which got 4.6 million sales on a 1/5th base of only 21 million consoles. (21% buy rate)

So it looks like there is only realistically 4 million or so Zelda fans out there... and most likely... they already have a Wii U.

Because even after 2 1/2 years on the market the system has yet to hit 10 million units.
Because there don't seem to be many system seller to be still coming out for the system and the few that are coming are still extremely far away (Zelda)
Because I don't see Nintendo still being interested in pushing the Wii U to new audiences, they are making bank on the Nintendo fans buying Amiibos like crazy and they'll soon be making a ton more cash on mobile, so I just don't see Nintendo going for aggressive price cutting measures on the Wii U, just let the thing run its course and then move on. The Wii U will never go below $100, even $150 would surprise me honestly.

There really is no point in Nintendo losing more cash on trying to expand the installbase of the Wii U.

Well, that is why i think that 20,000,000 is more probabily than 16,000,000 / 17,000,000 ...

Wii U have sold +500,000 NOW at this point of the year. So, Wii U must sell 500,000 even in the holiday for sell just over 2,000,000 this year... under 3,000,000 is seriusly low.

Nintendo really goofed up with the Wii U. It barely gets games, people barely know what it is, it's become the butt of a joke in the industry, it's too far underpowered for devs to care about it, and the install base is far too small a base for any devs to take a risk on it. With the way the Wii U is doing, it's going to have a very low end sales wise.

PLS, prediction YOY.

I just hope the lack of Zelda means a great price drop this year. It really needs one. Wii U isn't that great of a deal device, at least at the current price.

With the lack of a tremendous amount of games, the NX in the horizon, and the Wii U now a couple years in it's life, I don't think 20M will happen anytime soon.

Nintendo will soon release a new console, the writing is on the wall. And nintendo was never known to support their last gen consoles after the new console is released, see the wii.