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Do you still predict +20,000,000 PS4 and +10,000,000 million XBO this year?

Forums - Sales Discussion - Do you still predict +20,000,000 PS4 and +10,000,000 million XBO this year?

:D

PS4 will sell +20,000,000... 34 15.96%
 
PS4 will sell +20,000,000... 80 37.56%
 
PS4 will sell under 20,00... 34 15.96%
 
PS4 will sell under 20,00... 64 30.05%
 
Total:212

This was the prediction of many user by ending 2014/starting 2015. (i'm not say ALL have predict this numbers, just some people)

Now, easy question. do you still predict this numbers? discuss. :D



Actual prediction of the year: Super Smash Bros Ultimate will sell in 12 million

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I think both will get close but neither will get past, and stuff like a Halo 5 XO bundle and a PS4 price cut can effect those outcomes.

Both are definitely possible.

I think PS4 has a slightly better chance at hitting 20M than the XB1 has hitting 10M.

I don't think Xbone will sell 10 million this year... from Jan to Dec it will be down compared to last year so that mens:

XB1: ~7.5m

PS4 will be a bit up from Jan to Dec and that means:

PS4: ~15m

Where you guys are getting theses 10m and 20m when they sold last year way less than that?


ethomaz said:
I don't think Xbone will sell 10 million this year... from Jan to Dec it will be down compared to last year so that mens:

XB1: ~7.5m

PS4 will be a bit up from Jan to Dec and that means:

PS4: ~15m

Where you guys are getting theses 10m and 20m when they sold last year way less than that?

I agree with your PS4 prediction. :D

For XBO let's say 8,000,000, but your prediction seem correct...



Actual prediction of the year: Super Smash Bros Ultimate will sell in 12 million

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Ryng_Tolu said:

I agree with your PS4 prediction. :D

For XBO let's say 8,000,000, but your prediction seem correct...

Well I'm expecting PS4 to drop to $349 in August/September but if Sony choose $299 then I will go with over 17m instead 15m.

Xbone can do 8 million or even 9 million I just don't expect that... all depends how agreesssive MS will be this time.

But 20m and 10m for me is out of question... I can't see this happening... it will be a nice surprise



In the case of the PS4 it depends almost entirely on whether it gets a price cut this year. A $50 cut would probably be sufficient. Also if FF15 came out in Japan this year in conjunction with the aforementioned price cut it would make it a certainty IMO.

XBone is too hard to call, although it's not looking good at the moment. Keeping in mind that it actually had a pretty good holiday last year in North America, I have a hard time seeing it being up year over year unless Halo 5 really sets the world on fire.

Proudest Platinums:
1. Gran Turismo 5
2. Persona 4 Arena
3. Wipeout HD
4. Ninja Gaiden Sigma 2
5. Super Street Fighter 4

Im thinking..... something like:

PS4 ~16-17+ million
XB1 ~8-10 million

Depends on how big a effect the Halo series will have, and how much the PS4 is price cut.

Japan & china could be a small boost for ps4 this year, compaired to last.

 

"Well I'm expecting PS4 to drop to $349 in August/September but if Sony choose $299 then I will go with over 17m instead 15m."

 

My thinking too... if it hits 299$ its over 17million.

If its 349$ its probably only just barely over 16m.



Number of days to reach 50M from 40M : 198 days
Number of days to reach 60M from 50M : 187 days
Number of days to reach 70M from 60M : 175 days
Number of days to reach 80M from 70M : 227 days

Necro-bump this 2020: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=229249

According to VGChartz the YTD numbers are

PS4 ~ 2.38 million
X1 ~ 1.04 million


These are the numbers up to March 21st, 2015.
There are undoubtedly some tracking errors but I figured this information would be useful to the OP.



I'm not sure, but I am starting to think the PS4 will sell 15-18m this year with X1 selling 6-8m.

So yeah I adjusted both of them down. The only thing that might change my mind is if Sony does indeed drop the price of the PS4 to $299 at some point this year to spur sales.