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Forums - Sales Discussion - What will the Xbox One sell in its lifetime?

 

How much?

none lawl 67 62.04%
 
more than ps4 double lawl 8 7.41%
 
Halo 5 will push it to 100 mill 33 30.56%
 
Total:108
Teeqoz on 29 March 2015

50-60 million is my guess.



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Ryng on 29 March 2015
Welfare said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

The price drop is nothing.

We have already see the pricedrop effect, 500$ VS 350$, and XBO is increase by a 7% compared to last year as for now. That is not looking good.

In March will also dropped because last year was Titanfall...

If a 150$ have almost not effect, why another pricedrop will be huge? The fact is that the hype for XBO is massive dropped. The sales are barely more than last year with a 150$ pricedrop... and is scary to think that if XBO was at 400$ (still 100$ pricedrop) it was withouth doubt dropped comparet to last year.

So, the price don't will help by a lot the XBO sales. Also, if we see the line up, Halo is the best sistem seller for XBOX, and Halo coming this year. With Forza, Rise of the Tomb Raider, and maybe a Gears collection too.

The 2016 line up as for now is Quantum Break and Gears 4... seem good, but 2015 line up > 2016 line up.

But yeah, the 2016 will be still nice for XBO... i expect a massive dropped by 2017, because i don't think that other sistem seller can move XBOX ONE, and because XBO will startin to become "hold"... and the XB720 released in 2018 will definitive stopped the XBO sales.

 

That is my prediction:

2013: 1,800,000

2014: 4,400,000

2015: 4,800,000

2016: 4,000,000

2017: 3,000,000

2018: 1,500,000

other smaller sales in 2019/2020... Yeah, i think that XBO will be just above 20,000,000 lifetime in the US.

Just what i think.

Well the price drop happened in the holidays, so the effect won't be as big as it would have been in a non holiday month.

I do agree March will be down. MS didn't have anything for this month.

I'm expecting the $299 price along with a new slim model in a non holiday month. As shown with the 360 and PS3, that causes big sale spikes in the launch month and huge holiday sales.

2016 will have Scalebound, Gears, Crackdown, Quantum Break, Phantom Dust, and more. 2016 is looking to be a pretty good year for MS 1st party games.

2018 is a bit early I think for a successor. I'd say holiday 2019, giving the Xbox One 1 more year of relevent sales.

I don't think that Crackdown, Scalebound, and Phantom Dust will move many console, it can help for a week or two, and not by much.

The bigger released are Gears of War, that will sell many console, and Quantum Break, another good released.

But i think that the Quantum Break delayed can hurt the sales (not by a lot all considering), and MS will probabily make a Gears collection this holiday, that can hurt the Gears 4 boost, because some Gears fan, if this collection will really coming, can buy a XBO for the collection, and i am some of this people. (yeah, if this November MS make a Gears collection i sure buy a XBO, if not, i expect Gears 4).

For the pricedrop question: a 299,99$ can help, but not more than the -100$ pricedrop happen last June... and yeah, for quote Super6646, i know that it wasn't a 100% pricedrop, because have removed kinect, but still... and don't forget that when XBO will be at 299,99$, even PS4 will probabily have a pricedrop, 349,99$ or even 299,99$, that will be a problem for XBO...

For the XB720 released, well, if will coming in 2019 i see XBO to sell other 2,500,000/3,000,000 in the US.