How much? | |||
| none lawl | 67 | 62.04% | |
| more than ps4 double lawl | 8 | 7.41% | |
| Halo 5 will push it to 100 mill | 33 | 30.56% | |
| Total: | 108 | ||
3 unrealistic choices....
LAWL?
"And everyone's Kickstarter has merit." - Malory Archer
Arkaign said:
This is about exactly on target imho. I could see + or - 10-15% at most from this summary. And honestly, that's a damn good number coming from such a troubled launch and with ridiculously popular competition. There are a LOT of great consoles in history that haven't hit 50M LTD. |
I agree.
A console like the Nintendo 64, that have sold much more than XBO as for now, have barely break 30,000,000...
Shadow1980 said:
Because last gen was abnormally protracted. The PS3 and 360 didn't peak until 2011, most likely due to a certain other non-standard system depressing the sales of the other two. Five years is the average gap, and there's nothing that would cause the PS4 and XBO to peak until 2019-ish, thus causes this generation to be protracted. The PS4 will likely peak either this year or next year, depending on when this year it gets a price cut and how big the cut is, while the XBO's peak might be tougher to pin down (it could stay relatively flat through 2016 with no real peak, or could have a modest peak in 2016 with a cut to, say, $250). But once sales are a couple of years past their peak, I think we'll start getting the first news on next-gen systems, and I doubt they'll be out any later than 2019. There's nothing to suggest that the situation last gen is the new normal. |
last gen 360 lasted 8yrs b4 successor
ps3 6.5-7 (eu delay launch)
if there out in 2019 thats 6yrs i believe this gen will be about the same lenght as last 7yrs. i think slower game development is a sign of a longer gen we are seeing way to many games delayed and missing in action ei. grand turismo aswell as alot of remasters to fill in until the next gen really arrives and alot of the big games out now are cross gen like gta and cod i believe theres alot of life left in these consoles with proper current gen only versions of the big game like gta and cod and even other new ips that havent released at this point in time
your price cut theory can be shattered if no console this yr gets cut and 399 349 and 299 ride out longer, similar to last gen as many were waiting for ps3 to go to 299 then 199 which happened yrs later then prophisized
Play Me
55+ million.
Ryng_Tolu said:
Let's say: US: 20,000,000 - 25,000,000 EU: 8,000,000 - 10,000,000 RW: 2,000,000 - 4,000,000 WW: 30,000,000 to 40,000,000 |
What makes you think the Xbox One will sell less than the PS3 in the US?
Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287
Welfare said:
What makes you think the Xbox One will sell less than the PS3 in the US? |
Because PS3 have legs. As the other PlayStation console.
XBO don't will have the XB360 legs, it will break the peak this year, and after the sales will dropped liike a rock...
I say around 52 million. Longevity is going to be the key if it can sell more.
" It has never been about acknowledgement when you achieve something. When you are acknowledged, then and only then can you achieve something. Always have your friends first to achieve your goals later." - OnlyForDisplay
Ryng_Tolu said:
Because PS3 have legs. As the other PlayStation console. XBO don't will have the XB360 legs, it will break the peak this year, and after the sales will dropped liike a rock... |
Right now the Xbox One is significantly ahead of the PS3. In fact in month 16 (February 15), the Xbox One is at 6.62 million (rounded). In order for the PS3 to exceed that number, we have to go to PS3's 26 month on sale, which is December of 08. PS3 at that time is at 6.79 million (rounded). That's with two full holidays.
Xbox One doesn't need 7+ years to sell over 26 million in the US, and why do you think this will be the peak year? There is still the inevitable slim model + $299 price drop that will probably happen in 2016. For reference, when the 360 got that, it went from 194k in May to 452k in June and then 444k in July.
Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287
55-60 Million realistically.
Current gaming platforms - Switch, PlayStation 4, Xbox One, Wii U, New 3DS, PC
Welfare said:
Xbox One doesn't need 7+ years to sell over 26 million in the US, and why do you think this will be the peak year? There is still the inevitable slim model + $299 price drop that will probably happen in 2016. For reference, when the 360 got that, it went from 194k in May to 452k in June and then 444k in July. |
Exactly! Look at my prediction thread. Some say it'll only sell around 6 million in 2015! Others say around 30 million lifetime! Its insane how people try to make the XB1 look like a poor seller.
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