What do you think?

According to VGChartz, 3DS in 2011 have sold 13,250,062 units... will vita beat this?

Yeah i think so, vita's lifetime has around 1 or 2 years left, if not a really big title gets released on Vita i doubt it will sell that much

Yeah, I think they can do it. They're around 10 mil, right? It should make it to 15 mil with time. When that is, well, who knows.

Going by VGC numbers or real ones? :p

Ignoring the fact that Vita is extremely undertracked, I think it will comfortably pass 14m. Don't see it getting above 16 though, its still got life in it Japan and that won't change over night.

I'm expecting around 14-15M with PSTV included, so yes.

The PS Vita will sell more than the 3 million required to best this quite comfortably I would imagine. Sometime in early 2016 I would guess.

Although Sony doesn't care very much about it, it has no reason at all to discontinue it: its HW is by now dirt cheap to build, it sells games, it occupies a niche that, with Ninty so strong on portables, Sony couldn't ever get back if it abandons it and later changes its mind. Sony isn't anymore as big as it used to be, so even selling just 1M HW units/year, but with the SW and royalties profits added, plus some small benefit from the PS4/PSV cross-play, while requiring few resources to stay afloat at this level, would still be a small niche to be kept. Nobody would take it over at an interesting price,anyway, so the only alternative to keeping it is ditching it, this will happen only when profit won't justify anymore even the few resources required for its minimum possible production numbers.

Considering the Vita is STILL outselling Wii U, the question should be, Will the 3DS 1st year sales be greater than Wii U lifetime?

Wii U sold in 2 year 9,000,000

Vita sold in 2 year 7,000,000

Sorry, try again.

Back on topic, the thread is about 3DS VS Vita.