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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction - Halo 5 will sell more in 2015 than Uncharted 4 lifetime

Roronaa_chan said:
theprof00 said:

Uncharted? It won't even outsell mgs5

What do you mean even? MGS5 will outsell U4. So even if MGS5 > Halo 5, Halo 5 still > U4.

@TheBlackNaruto I'd say 5M

Uncharted 4 will suffer because:

  • It comes out after ROTR, leaving less room for impressing people.
  • It won't live up to TLOU; it can't.
  • It doesn't launch during an holiday period, unlike the previous games, rendering direct number comparisons inaccurate, and also causing lost sales, because not all purchases that'd have been made in 2015 will simply "move up" to 2016; a portion will just disappear and never happen.
  • It's supposed to launch in the same timeframe as SF5 and Horizon


1. So you think it won't impress people because it comes out after ROTR? Really? Not sure why you would even think that.

2. Why does it have to live up to TLOU though? Why can't it just live up tp UC1, 2 or 3 and be better?

3. Another point hat doesn't really make sense to me. Now sales will jsut disappear and never happen for no real reason at all but just because 2015 doesn't go to 2016?

4. Why would Horizon have ANY effect at all on UC4 sales? Or SF4 for that matter as they cater pretty much to different audiences?

And my last question why is it that you only see UC4 as suffering but not Halo 5? While I think this is a bold prediction you seem to be one sided on views thinking negative for UC4 but letting Halo 5 slide....



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Remove bundled copies and Uncharted goes under MGS. MGS5 will sell more than U4, that's pretty much a given.. I didn't think anyone believed otherwise.



Roronaa_chan said:
 

Remove bundled copies and Uncharted goes under MGS. MGS5 will sell more than U4, that's pretty much a given.. I didn't think anyone believed otherwise.

...because mgs4 wasn't bundled, right?



Roronaa_chan said:
theprof00 said:
Roronaa_chan said:
 

With 20M consoles i see it selling 7M, enough to beat U4 LTD.

Uncharted? It won't even outsell mgs5

What do you mean even? MGS5 will outsell U4. So even if MGS5 > Halo 5, Halo 5 still > U4.

@TheBlackNaruto I'd say 5M

Uncharted 4 will suffer because:

  • It comes out after ROTR, leaving less room for impressing people.
  • It won't live up to TLOU; it can't.
  • It doesn't launch during an holiday period, unlike the previous games, rendering direct number comparisons inaccurate, and also causing lost sales, because not all purchases that'd have been made in 2015 will simply "move up" to 2016; a portion will just disappear and never happen.
  • It's supposed to launch in the same timeframe as SF5 and Horizon


Horizon won't release in the same month as Uncharted neither will street fighter. Halo 4 couldn't live up to bungies standard was predicted but it didn't suffer neither did U3 suffer under U2. Most people see U4 as the sequel to the highly praised series, so I doubt there will be any effect just because ND also made TLOU. 

God of war never released during holiday yet especially God of War 3 sold great, to procounter, the install base after holiday 2015 will be even higher and the title can sell a great deal during holiday 2016 just as TLOU Remastered did. It is exclusively marketed by Sony so it will be promoted like hell resulting in an incredibly high opening week, since it is the promised greatness.



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

Roronaa_chan said:

Simply because of attach ratio differences. I can see it happening.

I guess If i make any more (predictions) I'll just add them to the sig instead of making new topics, would get overwhelming otherwise.


You just have the absolute worst predictions.

First of all, you have to take into consideration the number of those consoles. There are nearly twice as many PS4s out there, which means there are simply more people capable of playing the game when it comes out. The attach rate would have to be twice as high on Halo than on Uncharted, and considering the popularity of Uncharted, I don't think that's possible.

 

Higher attach rate? It's completely possible. Outsell? No.

 

And to be honest, your predictions are pretty bad. It seems like they're driven by fandom rather than logic.



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Imo, Halo 5 will sell a lot better than Uncharted 4 first year, but lifetime Uncharted 4 will have a better legs.
The difference will be around ~500,000 lifetime.
My prediction:
Halo 5: 8,000,000
Uncharted 4: 7,500,000

And nope, i dno't see Halo 5 to sell 7,500,000 first year... nothing Halo have sold this number's.



@Azuren:
You nailed man, Roronaa is acting with emotion, not with logic.
Anyone here can see your agenda, in your threads, in your posts or in your responses. You hate Sony/PS4 or anything related to.
Its so obvious!!

Ps: to moderators, it's not an attack, ok.



It really depends on how big Halo actually is. I doubt we will see it grow from the last installments because the install base is just so focused. Last gen a lot of sales were done by drive by consumers who just happened to have an X360 and bought because of hype. Halo 5 doesn't have that luxury anymore since the userbase is now focused on mainly if not only Xbox and Halo fans. So I can see Halo 5 dropping off substantially from the last installment.

I really have no idea how Uncharted will do. It's no TLOU and it's the 4th installment of a series. I don't think the parallels to Infamous apply for it at all due to vastly different circumstances.



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Obviously like all others Halo



Uncharted 4 will sell more in 24hours than halo in Lifetime,2016 the Ps4 has near 40mio User and the xbox 14--15mio