Soundwave said:
Well Nintendo is a prideful company I don't think anyone would deny that. Sometimes that has led them into some very bad decisions.
That said I think even Nintendo is accutely aware that even with their own wishes and desires, there's a market reality taking shape that doesn't neccessarily vibe with what they would want.
They wouldn't be making smartphone games otherwise.
The other elephant in the room is profit -- big profit. If smartphone apps become their biggest money maker (which may honestly not be a large stretch) in a few years, eventually they will start to priortitize the smartphone segment. That's just how business goes.
A coach of a team doesn't keep a younger player on the bench for too long if the bottom line is he's simply playing better than the older players and putting on a show every time he's put into the game.
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But the main reason they're making smartphone games is expansion, not profit. They've said as much, both in the past and the present. There is no elephant. The priority isn't to make mobile games their primary source of income. That is exactly the short term mindset they've explicitely expressed avoiding. This is a long term business plan, meant to grow their overall business. Their overall brand. Sure, their pride has lead them into making bad decisions. But this is one of those decisions colored by pride. Everything they've said and done up until now outright rejects the notion that their wishes and desires to regain that handheld and console dominance isn't driving these decisions. Getting into mobile is a supplement of that. No company that just came out of the Wii/DS era, the single most successful console generation for any video game maker, period, is giving up that fight after one loss.
They're up there thinking "We did that once, we can do it again." Now you may think they can't, and I may think they can't, but this isn't about whether they can do it again or not. This is about whether they think they can do it again, and how it effects their business decisions. Going mobile, in the specific way that they have, is how it's effecting their business decisions. That's why they announced the NX in the first place, and that's why the headline is getting nearly as much coverage as their move to mobile. That's why the NX is likely being build to, by design, take full advantage of their new unified platform and everything attached to it, including mobile.
My argument isn't that smartphone games won't or can't be their biggest money maker; my argument is that Nintendo won't then go and say "well this is what we do now," and slag off the other sectors because that's not what makes them more money. That's not good business. They'll use what has more mainstream success to strategically make their less successful products more successful. That's why Sony's rebranding nearly all of their sectors after Playstation, when common wisdom would just say to cut them loose, and solely focus on games. That's what they've been doing with the 3DS for the Wii U. It's likely the driving reason for the application of Miiverse on the 3DS. It doesn't matter if it didn't work; because they did it. The Wii U is making a fraction of what the Wii U is, yet The Wii U is arguably recieving more of their focus than the 3DS. Nintendo is not a company dictated by short term profits.
And that's exactly the gameplan going in. This isn't reactionary - it's proactive. They're diving in with the goal of building their brand. Expansion. They've said that. They're going big on this. This isn't Nintendo merely making smartphone games. They're trying to use smart phones as a tool to rebuild an empire they've since lost.
Also, this doesn't go just one way. Nintendo isn't looking at current Nintendo console consumers and thinking "well they're already on our consoles, so we can just leave them alone." They want everyone on as many facets of the Nintendo Network as possible. So if you own a Wii U and/or 3DS, they want you playing their mobile games, and they're going to use that hardware to entice you to do that. Nintendo slyly announced that PCs would be a part of their new platform.
This isn't a so much a prediction, but I wouldn't be even remotely suprised if Nintendo tries to find a way to get people playing Nintendo games on their computer. Not traditional PC gaming either. Games from the browser. In the same way that people may have a tab open for Facebook or Twitter, it wouldn't even remotely suprise me (anymore) if Nintendo looks at the Facebook gaming fad that went and gone and tries to do something similar in the future, with the same platform expansion goal. It's about mindshare. I definitely don't think Nintendo will be, say, releasing their games on Steam, and just releasing a website to check your account presents the same pitfalls that merely releasing a Nintendo app does. That's something I'd like to know more about.