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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Prediction: The PS5 will sell less than 40 million units

Barkley on 12 March 2015
spemanig said:
Prediction: The PS5 will sell nothing because it won't exist.

PS Now, on the other hand, will be a behemoth.


This, aslong as the tech is their by 2020.

PlayStation now that'll be available on tv's, tablets, mobiles and the toaster will be insane. The amount of userbase you can aquire when they don't have to buy specific hardware or even make an initial investment on hardware to begin with is insane. Mario Kart Wii managed 35 million units, because the installbase for the wii was insane and it was a great game. Imagine if everyone with most tv's, android or ios devices can purchase PlayStation games. Software sales will be insane.



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The Fury on 12 March 2015

The more people that predict this industry will turn into a service industry with streaming, the more I laugh.

Cinema and TV are not streaming only, not now, not likely in our nearish lifetimes. Internet is just not reliable enough 100% of the time. The PS5 may have a discless version of the console for those that want to stream or download games only but there will be a unit to buy regardless.



Hmm, pie.

ReimTime on 12 March 2015

Oh one more thing. The infrastructure needed for a game streaming/downloading service just isn't there for a lot of people. Internet in a lot of places is unreliable and slow



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Barkley on 12 March 2015

Which is why I said if the technology is their by 2020, we're heading for cloud gaming whether people here like it or not whether that's next generation or the one after remains to be seen. PlayStation Now isn't Sony's attempt at backwards compatibility, they're testing the waters and gaining valuable experience for what's to come. Microsoft will follow soon.



Barkley on 12 March 2015
Ka-pi96 said:
Barkley said:

Which is why I said if the technology is their by 2020, we're heading for cloud gaming whether people here like it or not whether that's next generation or the one after remains to be seen. PlayStation Now isn't Sony's attempt at backwards compatibility, they're testing the waters and gaining valuable experience for what's to come. Microsoft will follow soon.

The technology won't be there by 2020 though. Not for the vast majority of people at least. 5 years just isn't enough time to change the internet structure of most of the world...


Wouldn't surprise me if they went the Don Matrick route.

 

The audience they'll be able to reach will still be far far greater with cloud streaming to a multitude of devices.



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ReimTime on 12 March 2015
Ka-pi96 said:
Barkley said:
Ka-pi96 said:

The technology won't be there by 2020 though. Not for the vast majority of people at least. 5 years just isn't enough time to change the internet structure of most of the world...


Wouldn't surprise me if they went the Don Matrick route.

 

 

The audience they'll be able to reach will still be far far greater with cloud streaming to a multitude of devices.

But the potential audience they will miss out on is huge. Even if they do do streaming (as they already are with PS Now) they'd be stupid not to have a traditional console as well that will appeal to a huge number of people.

Yep. Many places still game actively on PS2



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ReimTime on 12 March 2015

Oh and about the streaming part, remote play on PS4 is available on all Android devices already



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Barkley on 12 March 2015
Ka-pi96 said:

But the potential audience they will miss out on is huge. Even if they do do streaming (as they already are with PS Now) they'd be stupid not to have a traditional console as well that will appeal to a huge number of people.


Perhaps but the average global internet connection speed is 3.9 megabit as of 2014. The suggested for Playstation Now is 5 megabit. It's a lot close than you think.

The majority of Japan has the capability now.

The majority of Europe has the capability now.

The majority of the USA has the capability now.

South American, African and Asian countries other than Japan and Korea are the ones that would be missing out currently.



vivster on 12 March 2015

Not a bad prediction. If they again decide to make the PS cheap instead of powerful it could be on par with high end mobile devices when it comes out.

Gonna be interesting to see how the gaming market develops in the next 3 years.



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Barkley on 12 March 2015

Ka-pi96 said:

 It isn't just whether it is available though. High speed internet also has a high cost that some people just can't afford or aren't willing to pay. I know I'd never pay the ridiculous prices for high speed internet. Besides that with data caps in some countries (mostly the US) that further makes it harder to stream full games.

 

Well average means the people already have and pay for those speeds, though you're right about the Data Caps.