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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: PS4 will sell 50 million in North America

 

What you think?

Yeah homie 35 37.23%
 
It'll outsell the PS2 19 20.21%
 
Won't even outsell the G... 11 11.70%
 
Master Chief won't allow that 29 30.85%
 
Total:94
Ruler said:
I dont think this generation will be as long as the 7th

This.

only because PS4 outsold the X360 at launch, that is nothing.

The market is in 2006... the thing is change.



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Ryng_Tolu said:
Ruler said:
I dont think this generation will be as long as the 7th

This.

only because PS4 have sold sold more than XB360 at launch, that is nothing.

The market is not more as in 2006... the market is change.

Now, the console break the peak in the first's year, and it have a smaller increase... not like PS3/XB360/Wii that is increase by 30/40 % YoY !!!

PS4 will break the peak this year, max in 2016, and the sales will starting to dropped like a rock, what is happen for 3DS...

i think you and a lot of other people's expectations have severely gone down because ps4 didn't reach 20 million last year. i remember you were the guy who thought the ps4 would outsell the ps2. 



Actually... This is a very plausible prediction.

It all depends on PSVue. The intention is to challenge old school cable/satellite boxes with a cloud based streaming solution. Once we find out pricing the picture will be better, but I think Vue will be the huge push Sony wants for the NA market.



thedawghousev2 said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

This.

only because PS4 have sold sold more than XB360 at launch, that is nothing.

The market is not more as in 2006... the market is change.

Now, the console break the peak in the first's year, and it have a smaller increase... not like PS3/XB360/Wii that is increase by 30/40 % YoY !!!

PS4 will break the peak this year, max in 2016, and the sales will starting to dropped like a rock, what is happen for 3DS...

i think you and a lot of other people's expectations have severely gone down because ps4 didn't reach 20 million last year. i remember you were the guy who thought the ps4 would outsell the ps2. 

Yes, i have hope PS4 above PS2.

I have also predict 20m Vita, 40m Wii U, 50m XBO, and 100m 3DS... i was too much octimist with all, but now i'm not.

My actually prediction is:

PS4: 100m

3DS: 80m

XBO: 32m

WiiU: 18m

Vita: 12m



Ryng_Tolu said:
thedawghousev2 said:

i think you and a lot of other people's expectations have severely gone down because ps4 didn't reach 20 million last year. i remember you were the guy who thought the ps4 would outsell the ps2. 

Yes, i have hope PS4 above PS2.

I have also predict 20m Vita, 40m Wii U, 50m XBO, and 100m 3DS... i was too much octimist with all, but now i'm not.

My actually prediction is:

PS4: 100m

3DS: 80m

XBO: 32m

WiiU: 18m

Vita: 12m


i think you're now a little too un-optimistic will all of your predictions.



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thedawghousev2 said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

Yes, i have hope PS4 above PS2.

I have also predict 20m Vita, 40m Wii U, 50m XBO, and 100m 3DS... i was too much octimist with all, but now i'm not.

My actually prediction is:

PS4: 100m

3DS: 80m

XBO: 32m

WiiU: 18m

Vita: 12m


i think you're now a little too un-optimistic will all of your predictions.

What is you'r prediction for PS4/3DS/XBO/WiiU/PSV lifetime?



Seece said:

It won't, not gonna have the legs of 360 remotely, where it was doing 6/7m in its latter years.

Also PS2 and 360 only got that close with Xbox and PS3 not being real real competition. XB1 is in America, it's not even clear cut that PS4 will win ther e...

and yet the 360 was a lower price point by this point in its life.  IF PS4 has as much time to sell (big if but certainly a possibility that must be taken into account) it can easily have a slower burn of price cuts keeping its sales just as high as things get long in the tooth.  The PS4 is designed in a way that gets costs down quick.  The basic parts will be able to make it $99 by the time 360 was still $199 for a 12gb model.  Now whether Sony just wants to reap the profits on hardware or if they want to make money on more and more install base (software and PS+) will be a determining factor.  But to discount this entirely is foolish.




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Yeah, no.
Maybe 40 if X1 breaks down at some point.



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If it continues to sell well, maybe. How well did other consoles do in the US anyways? Then I`d be able to say my answer more confidently



 

              

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Ryng_Tolu said:
thedawghousev2 said:


i think you're now a little too un-optimistic will all of your predictions.

What is you'r prediction for PS4/3DS/XBO/WiiU/PSV lifetime?


PS4: My PS4 predicition is the craziest one, but I think it will outsell the PS2, probably 160 million.

3DS: 85 million

Xbox One: 46 million

Wii U: 22 million, it only needs a big price drop and it will be successful in my opinion

PS Vita: 12 million