By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - [NPD WiiU/3DS 2014 vs 2015] "3DS: 514k~848k" (WiiU...)

 

 →→→ !!! US (NPD) 2014 VS 2015!!! 

~Predict Sales of the WiiU and 3ds for January in the US! Will be added to opening!

 

 

Month:    2014 ~ 3DS ~ 2015     *    2014 ~ WiiU ~ 2015 

Jan:          96k                  74k               49k                 63k

Feb:        153k                395k              82k                 94k (says 98k but to i'll use this figure)

Mar:        159k                263k            70k                 81k

Apr:         106k                116k            48k                43k

May:         96k                                       61k

Jun:        152k                                      140k

July:        108k                                       81k

Aug:         91k                                        59k

Sept:      140k                                        87k

Oct:        138k                                        69k

Nov:       515k                                       245k

Dec:       810k                                       580k

Year:     2,574k           848k                 1,573k            284k



Around the Network

Im going to predict for January sales...

WiiU: 60k (up YoY)
3DS: 85k (Down YoY)



Why do u have 2014 numbers in the 2013 column?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
Why do u have 2014 numbers in the 2013 column?


because im an idiot XD (2014 vs 2015, though i had 2013 vs 2014!!!)



Well the Wii U is doing singnificantly better on Amazon than I ever remember it doing. So it will be up. 3DS...I don't know. I mean there is a 3DS XL in the top 100 hourly, but given the 3DS's sales stats during the rest of last year vs it's success on Amazon, clearly Amazon doesn't mean much of anything for it. With New 3DS being coming, it being down is probably the safe bet.



Around the Network

 

Ok Now for an analysis!!! The Great, The Avg, and of course The Bad! Anywayzzz lets begin! With info 1st...

 

*** Notes***

~3DS in US sold 2.57mil in 2014. It was at 1.25mil before the holidays (Jan-Oct) With Nov/Dec being 515k/810k (1.33mil)

~3DS 2014 avg 117k per month from Apr-Oct

~3DS is currently around 732k sold with its first 3 months. 

~It would need an avg of 74k per month to be flat YoY 2014 before holidays atm (selling 517k more 3ds's)

~3DS in 2014 reached 762k by end of June. 870k by end of July. If 3DS can manage 148k for April, it be a tie 2015 4months vs 2014 7months!!

 

Okay analysis time!!! 5 Scenarios for April-Oct and 3 scenarios for holidays!!! Then combinations at bottom, pls understand...

*** Months April-October *** (2014 did avg of 117k same period)

   Scenarios                  Averages      Total in 7months    Including Jan-Mar

1. Worse Case           75k per month        525k                     1257k

2. Pessimistic Case    95k per month       665k                      1397k

3. Normal Case        115k per month       805k                      1537k

4. Good Case           135k per month       945k                      1677k

5. Crazy Case          160k per month      1120k                      1852k

 

*** Holidays (Nov/Dec) *** 2014: 1325k (Nov=515k + Dec=810k)

     Scenarios      Nov  ~   Dec   ~ Total                

A) Worst Case   250k     400k     650k

B) Okay Case    400k     600k    1000k

C) Good Case   500k     750k    1250k

D) Wow Case    600k     900k    1500k

 

 

Combination (1-5 + A-D)

1A= 1907k

2A= 2047k

2B= 2397k

3B= 2537k

3C= 2787k

4C= 2927k

4D= 3177k

5D= 3352k



nope... just that 3ds will be up YoY in feb :D



Follow my Gaming and Graphics Business on facebook and on Twitter:

https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=101878997952596&ref=br_rs

https://twitter.com/KellyGGWD

I´m sure WiiU is going to be up this month... maybe 65k or so
3Ds... Down not by much, maybe 85k

Your prediction seems pretty reasonable



Wii U and 3DS - 69k



My January predictions:

3DS - 85k (Down YoY)
Wii U - 70k (Up YoY)



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won