So my predictions up there in the title! so what do you guys think? Crazy, modest or just right?

Edit:So people wanted elaboration. Xbox one did around 7 mil in 2014.in 2014 Xbox one was 500 for around half of the year. This year Xbox one will be 350 in the US, and possibly 300 end of year. Also, xbox didn't really try in Europe price wise last year. This year Phil Spencer said he'd try harder (or something along the lines). Also it's biggest exclusive halo 5,gears collection, tomb Raider, Forza 6,a more complete killer instinct, state of decay, scream ride, quantum break, fable legends and more innanounced games. So better games and much better price along with the fact that consoles sell better their 2nd year than first 

You think it'll double it's 2014 numbers?

Yeah that's probably not going happen.

I think it's possible, but highly improbable.
If I were to predict, my optimistic prediction would be 20 million.

Crazy, I think it will have 20 million max, but who knows, it might surprise.

I somewhat doubt it, though 22 million is not out of question IMO. It depends on a whole lot of factors: price, quality of exclusives it will receive and how strong a showing will they have at e3.

You should elaborate on that prediction a little, what would make sales explode like that?

Nah

Reasonable, it's likely going to be a better deal this Christmas($299?), more so than last(more games).

Nope. 20-22 million at the most but 15 million in a year is Playstation level sales.