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Forums - Sales Discussion - The definitive SSBB NA first week sales thread

kingofwale said:
kingofwale said:
wow, there will be some MASSIVE crow fest at the end of all this. That's all I'm saying.

1.53 million

1.53 million prediction? Check (actual number, 1.57mil)

Massive crow fest? check (prediction from people going from 2.3 - 3 million first week)

 

;)



Congrats on your bet, but why exactly does the massive crow fest start at 2.3 million? :P

To tell the truth I'm more worried about the hardware number, I find it very strange that the number of stockpiled units (both from retailers and Nintendo) wasn't bigger. If these numbers are correct, I guess the winners are the people who said Nintendo will just ship what they need to hit their FY shipment forecast.

I mean come on, there were 289k Wiis sold in SMG's launch week! 127k seems way too low for such a big launch.

 



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Working at a retailer myself, Yes, my store did hold the last shipment for SSBB launch, but they didn't stockpile anything for month for it. and our shipment is pretty normal like every other shipment.

Frankly, I don't even believe Nintendo would go as far as stockpile Wiis for a game launch. For Holiday? Maybe, but sooner Wii goes to the consumer's hand, more games they will buy.

And yes, I personally bet around 200K Wii hardware, so I got pwned there too.


P.S. I hated when people bet 3 million weekly, and if I remember correctly, a Mod did that as well. ;)



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
kingofwale said:
Frankly, I don't even believe Nintendo would go as far as stockpile Wiis for a game launch. For Holiday? Maybe, but sooner Wii goes to the consumer's hand, more games they will buy.
Not even for the Wii Fit launch? 

 



 

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What's the point of stockpiling them in the warehouse somewhere? People who are interested in Wiifit at this point, will go and buy a Wii right now (Wii's shortage isn't exactly unknown to the general public), as oppose to wait until launch date and go buy a Wii.

Frankly, if they get Wii now, they might also pick up a few games to play until Wiifit.

Expect the same hardware sales number for Wiifit launch



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
Sullla said:

So... you really think the Wii will sell 400k or more next week, in America alone? After adding in Europe and Japan sales, that would put the Wii well over 500k, closing in on 600k. In mid-March. Umm.... OK. You might want to keep in mind that the Wii has never topped 450k in a non-holiday week, and it's only bettered 350k twice. But hey, since Smash Brothers is going to sell 3m copies week one, and better the Halo launch, I guess that's no problem, right?

I don't want to say "I told you so", but... well, I can't think of a way to end this sentence without saying "I told you so."

Just remember: hardware never spikes as much as everyone thinks it does for major game releases. I did think we'd see sales around 200k for the week though.



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End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)