Exactly what I think but a little more for Brawl, like 3.4 million.

@ sullla: the increase will be due to nintendo releasing more hardware with Brawl. Whether or not Brawl pull hardware is hard to see, because of wii severe shortages.

Brawl (NA only): 3 million

Wii hardware (NA only): 1 million

Brawl: 2.5-3 million
Wii: 300k
Really, I think the sales will be only limited to what they ship(to a point of course), and not to anything such as demand.

Normally I'd say you were right, but this is a different situation. A lot of people who wanted Halo 3 probably already had it. But I think that a lot of people have been waiting to get a Wii just for Brawl. Course, sales are limited to supply, so even if they have been stockpiling, I could hardly see more than 450k. I mean, they haven't even been selling 450k WW, so to do more than that in NA alone would just be out of this world. Not that I don't think demand is there though. But I do think 300k or so is more realistic. Software though really is a wildcard. I'll have to resurrect the "Halo 3 vs SSB:B First Week Sales" thread after next week. Should be interesting!

Everyone talking about supply & demand should learn chemistry. Given 2 chemicals, i.e. supply and demand, if the sales, i.e. rate of reaction, is directly proportional to supply and directly proportional to demand, which is true in this case,

sales = k x supply x demand

However when you saturate the beaker, i.e. the market, with infinity amount of one of the chemical, i.e. demand here, then rate of reaction will only be directly proportional to the other chemical, i.e. supply.

Therefore, sales = k x supply

So to all those saying Brawl, MKWii or Wii Fit may or may not increase the demand of Wii, it is pointless. Because demand is already infinite. So sales on Wii will only depends on supply for now, until Nintendo decides to flood the beaker, i.e. market, with a very huge supply of Wii. Then we will see the normal market situation of sales = k x supply x demand.

Full stop.

ssbb 700k, with very good legs following

wii hardware 300k, steady amount around 200k for few weeks after

Last post in this thread, then you guys can go ahead and have fun predicting.

So... you really think the Wii will sell 400k or more next week, in America alone? After adding in Europe and Japan sales, that would put the Wii well over 500k, closing in on 600k. In mid-March. Umm.... OK. You might want to keep in mind that the Wii has never topped 450k in a non-holiday week, and it's only bettered 350k twice. But hey, since Smash Brothers is going to sell 3m copies week one, and better the Halo launch, I guess that's no problem, right?

Apologies for being sarcastic, I'm just trying to point out how carried away some of you are getting.

You do know that SSBB has more than 1 million preorders alone?  So you are saying that not only will 300K people not pick up their preorders, but the game will not sell a single other copy past that? 

1.8-2.0 million with 400k hardware. For all those posting 2.5 million + predictions, sorry. That just isnt going to happen.